Language:English
Grimsby Town v Fleetwood Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Grimsby Town (Local)
Prediction 46.92%2.13fair odd
EV -3.82%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -3.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.31%46.90%46.92%48.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.951.952.0553.48%51.28%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fleetwood Town (Visit)
Prediction 25.96%3.85fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -0.706%
Kelly -0.963%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.58%25.92%26.06%26.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.603.603.7529.41%27.75%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.12%3.69fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -0.654%
Kelly -0.906%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.00%27.18%27.02%29.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.403.403.6033.33%29.42%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grimsby Town (Local): 46.92%; Fleetwood Town (Visit): 25.96%; Draw: 27.12%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -2.36%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 16:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.42%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-17 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 16:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -10.44%E -3.03%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 16:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -10.44%E -3.03%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 16:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.49%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 16:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21%EV -4.29%E -2.10%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -2.36%E -0.654%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21%EV -4.29%E -2.10%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -2.36%E -0.654%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -6.17%E -3.08%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.63%EV -3.43%E -0.921%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.70%EV -3.17%E -0.888%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-17 19:31 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.17%E -3.08%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.17%E -3.08%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.49%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-17 19:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.17%E -3.08%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.85%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-17 16:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.17%E -3.08%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.85%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-17 16:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.70%EV -6.64%E -3.34%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.73%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.49%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-17 16:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -7.11%E -3.59%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.07%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.11%E -3.59%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.42%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.11%E -3.59%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.42%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.66%EV -8.04%E -4.10%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.80%EV -6.02%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.54%EV -4.53%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.28%EV -8.04%E -4.10%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.46%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 19:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.51%E -4.37%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.36%E -0.654%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.51%E -4.37%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -2.65%E -0.706%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.51%E -4.37%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.07%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.51%E -4.37%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.51%E -4.37%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -8.51%E -4.37%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -8.51%E -4.37%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -8.51%E -4.37%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.73%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -8.98%E -4.63%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -9.45%E -4.90%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -10.39%E -5.44%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.07%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -10.39%E -5.44%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -10.39%E -5.44%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -18.63%E -6.21%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -10.86%E -5.72%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.49%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.39%EV -11.33%E -5.99%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-17 02:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -11.80%E -6.28%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-17 02:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -11.80%E -6.28%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-17 02:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -11.80%E -6.28%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-17 02:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -11.80%E -6.28%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-17 02:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -11.80%E -6.28%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-17 02:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -11.80%E -6.28%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-17 02:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -11.80%E -6.28%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-17 02:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -11.80%E -6.28%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-17 02:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -11.80%E -6.28%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-17 02:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -11.80%E -6.28%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-17 02:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -12.27%E -6.56%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-17 02:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -12.27%E -6.56%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-17 02:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -12.27%E -6.56%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-17 02:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -12.27%E -6.56%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 1.4% | 2026-03-17 19:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 1.4% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 1.4% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 1.4% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.58% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.35% | 3.0% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |