La escuela de los momios

Grimsby Town v Fleetwood Town

Inicio: 2026-03-17 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Grimsby Town (Local)

Predicción 46.92%2.13momio equitativo
EV -3.82%
Ventaja -1.86%
Kelly -3.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.31%46.90%46.92%48.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.871.951.952.0553.48%51.28%51.28%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Fleetwood Town (Visitante)

Predicción 25.96%3.85momio equitativo
EV -2.65%
Ventaja -0.706%
Kelly -0.963%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.58%25.92%26.06%26.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.603.603.7529.41%27.75%27.78%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.12%3.69momio equitativo
EV -2.36%
Ventaja -0.654%
Kelly -0.906%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.00%27.18%27.02%29.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.403.403.6033.33%29.42%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 16:35
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.42%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 16:30
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 16:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -10.44%E -3.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 16:30
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -10.44%E -3.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 16:30
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.49%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 16:35
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21%EV -4.29%E -2.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -2.36%E -0.654%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-17 19:15
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21%EV -4.29%E -2.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -2.36%E -0.654%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-17 19:20
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -6.17%E -3.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.63%EV -3.43%E -0.921%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.70%EV -3.17%E -0.888%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 19:31
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.17%E -3.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 19:25
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.17%E -3.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.49%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 19:19
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.17%E -3.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.85%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 16:35
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.17%E -3.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.85%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 16:34
Codere (IT)1.99I 50.25%NM 45.70%EV -6.64%E -3.34%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.73%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.49%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-17 16:35
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -7.11%E -3.59%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.07%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 19:40
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.11%E -3.59%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.42%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:20
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.11%E -3.59%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.42%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:20
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.66%EV -8.04%E -4.10%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.80%EV -6.02%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.54%EV -4.53%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 19:35
Marathon Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.28%EV -8.04%E -4.10%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.46%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:19
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.51%E -4.37%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.36%E -0.654%K -0.906%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 19:25
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.51%E -4.37%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -2.65%E -0.706%K -0.963%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 19:25
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.51%E -4.37%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.07%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.51%E -4.37%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:40
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.51%E -4.37%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:20
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -8.51%E -4.37%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:25
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -8.51%E -4.37%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:30
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -8.51%E -4.37%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.73%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-17 19:20
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -8.98%E -4.63%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 19:40
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -9.45%E -4.90%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 19:30
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -10.39%E -5.44%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.07%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 19:40
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -10.39%E -5.44%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-17 19:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -10.39%E -5.44%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -18.63%E -6.21%K -9.31%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-17 19:25
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -10.86%E -5.72%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.49%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-17 19:25
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.39%EV -11.33%E -5.99%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 02:25
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -11.80%E -6.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 02:25
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -11.80%E -6.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 02:25
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -11.80%E -6.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 02:24
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -11.80%E -6.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 02:25
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -11.80%E -6.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 02:24
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -11.80%E -6.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 02:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -11.80%E -6.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 02:25
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -11.80%E -6.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 02:25
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -11.80%E -6.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 02:25
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -11.80%E -6.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 02:25
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -12.27%E -6.56%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 02:25
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -12.27%E -6.56%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 02:24
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -12.27%E -6.56%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 02:24
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -12.27%E -6.56%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 19:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-03-17 19:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-03-17 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-03-17 19:35
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-03-17 19:25
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.35%3.0%2026-03-17 19:30