Language:English
Grimsby Town v Fleetwood Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Grimsby Town (Local)
Prediction 49.32%2.03fair odd
EV -3.82%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -4.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.73%49.31%49.25%51.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.871.851.9556.50%53.60%53.91%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fleetwood Town (Visit)
Prediction 24.37%4.10fair odd
EV +2.36%
Edge +0.563%
Kelly +0.739%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.25%24.32%24.54%25.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.873.864.2027.78%25.84%25.91%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.31%3.80fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -0.722%
Kelly -0.989%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.12%26.37%26.20%27.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.503.503.7030.30%28.61%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grimsby Town (Local): 49.32%; Fleetwood Town (Visit): 24.37%; Draw: 26.31%. For Fleetwood Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.10. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.36%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -9.74%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV +2.36%E +0.563%K +0.739%G +0.017% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -11.22%E -6.23%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -0.073%E -0.018%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -10.73%E -5.93%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -0.073%E -0.018%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -9.25%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -2.51%E -0.627%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.30%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -2.51%E -0.627%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.30%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 09:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -2.51%E -0.627%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.30%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 09:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -2.51%E -0.627%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.30%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 09:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.09%EV -8.26%E -4.44%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -2.51%E -0.627%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 14:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -11.22%E -6.23%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -2.51%E -0.627%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -2.67%E -0.722%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -2.51%E -0.627%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-26 07:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -2.51%E -0.627%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-26 07:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -2.51%E -0.627%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-26 07:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -2.51%E -0.627%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-26 07:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -2.51%E -0.627%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-26 07:38 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -2.51%E -0.627%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-26 07:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -2.51%E -0.627%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-26 07:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -2.51%E -0.627%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-26 07:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.77%E -4.15%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -2.51%E -0.627%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -10.56%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 04:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -7.27%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -3.73%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -10.56%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -7.27%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -3.73%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -10.56%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.95%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.29%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.95%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.95%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -5.30%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 09:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -11.22%E -6.23%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.95%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.30%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -7.77%E -4.15%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.87%EV -5.43%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.61%EV -8.46%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 13:33 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.29%EV -4.81%E -2.49%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.58%EV -5.68%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.13%EV -4.25%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -6.17%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -3.99%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -6.29%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -6.17%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -6.29%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -6.17%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -6.17%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -6.17%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.08%EV -11.22%E -6.23%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -6.17%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -10.56%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-28 14:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.02%EV -11.71%E -6.54%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -6.17%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -11.88%E -3.55%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-26 07:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -7.38%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.30%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -7.38%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.30%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -7.27%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.38%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.30%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.15%EV -12.70%E -7.17%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.38%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -11.88%E -3.55%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-26 07:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.15%EV -12.70%E -7.17%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.38%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -11.88%E -3.55%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-26 07:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -3.82%E -1.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.30%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -3.82%E -1.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.30%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.89%EV -5.30%E -2.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.30%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 13:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.89%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -11.88%E -3.55%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.82%E -2.65%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.56%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 13:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.71%EV -7.27%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -9.82%E -2.65%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -9.25%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -9.82%E -2.65%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -13.19%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -9.82%E -2.65%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -13.19%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -9.82%E -2.65%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -13.19%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -7.77%E -4.15%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -9.82%E -2.65%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.56%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.26%E -3.41%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -6.29%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -12.26%E -3.41%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.74%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.26%E -3.41%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-29 13:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.74%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.26%E -3.41%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.76% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 1.5% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.76% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 1.5% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.76% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 1.5% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.25% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.68% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07% | 2.6% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |