Language:English
Gillingham v Oldham Athletic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gillingham (Local)
Prediction 43.53%2.30fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -2.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.67%43.58%43.58%44.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.122.122.2248.78%47.19%47.17%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Oldham Athletic (Visit)
Prediction 27.77%3.60fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -0.800%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.31%27.73%27.67%28.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.333.303.5031.25%30.02%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.70%3.48fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -0.711%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.63%28.69%28.75%29.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.223.203.4032.26%31.03%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gillingham (Local): 43.53%; Oldham Athletic (Visit): 27.77%; Draw: 28.70%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -2.42%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.00%EV -3.37%E -1.52%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.41%EV -6.69%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.58%EV -4.14%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.64%EV -4.24%E -1.93%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -2.80%E -0.800%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.92%EV -4.71%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.64%EV -4.24%E -1.93%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -2.80%E -0.800%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.92%EV -4.71%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.24%E -1.93%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.42%E -2.98%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -3.85%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.42%E -2.98%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 14:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.42%E -2.98%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.42%E -2.98%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.42%E -2.98%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -6.42%E -2.98%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.42%E -2.98%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.42%E -2.98%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.42%E -2.98%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.70%EV -7.29%E -3.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -9.59%E -3.04%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -7.72%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.80%E -0.800%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 14:56 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.72%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.72%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.72%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.72%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.72%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.72%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.72%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.72%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.72%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.72%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.91%EV -8.16%E -3.87%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.58%EV -6.69%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -2.80%E -0.800%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -2.80%E -0.800%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -2.80%E -0.800%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.59%E -3.04%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -9.59%E -3.04%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -9.59%E -3.04%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -9.59%E -3.04%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.61%EV -9.46%E -4.55%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -3.85%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.61%EV -9.46%E -4.55%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -3.85%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -10.77%E -5.25%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -2.80%E -0.800%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -10.77%E -5.25%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -10.77%E -5.25%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.41% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 1.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.41% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 1.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.02% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45% | 1.9% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.10% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.96% | 3.1% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |