La escuela de los momios

Gillingham v Oldham Athletic

Inicio: 2026-02-21 15:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Gillingham (Local)

Predicción 43.53%2.30momio equitativo
EV -3.37%
Ventaja -1.52%
Kelly -2.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.67%43.58%43.58%44.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.122.122.2248.78%47.19%47.17%45.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Oldham Athletic (Visitante)

Predicción 27.77%3.60momio equitativo
EV -2.80%
Ventaja -0.800%
Kelly -1.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.31%27.73%27.67%28.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.333.303.5031.25%30.02%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.70%3.48momio equitativo
EV -2.42%
Ventaja -0.711%
Kelly -1.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.63%28.69%28.75%29.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.223.203.4032.26%31.03%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 43.00%EV -3.37%E -1.52%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.41%EV -6.69%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.58%EV -4.14%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 14:59
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.64%EV -4.24%E -1.93%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -2.80%E -0.800%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.92%EV -4.71%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 14:59
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.64%EV -4.24%E -1.93%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -2.80%E -0.800%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.92%EV -4.71%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 15:00
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.24%E -1.93%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 15:00
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.42%E -2.98%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -3.85%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:00
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.42%E -2.98%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 14:58
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.42%E -2.98%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.42%E -2.98%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:00
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.42%E -2.98%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:59
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -6.42%E -2.98%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:59
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.42%E -2.98%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 15:00
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.42%E -2.98%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 15:00
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.42%E -2.98%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 14:59
Codere (IT)2.13I 46.95%NM 42.70%EV -7.29%E -3.42%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -9.59%E -3.04%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 15:00
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -7.72%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.80%E -0.800%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:56
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.72%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.72%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 15:00
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.72%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 15:00
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.72%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 15:00
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.72%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 15:00
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.72%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 15:00
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.72%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 15:00
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.72%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 15:00
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.72%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 15:00
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.72%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 15:00
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 43.91%EV -8.16%E -3.87%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.58%EV -6.69%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:59
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 14:59
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -2.80%E -0.800%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:59
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -2.80%E -0.800%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 15:00
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -2.80%E -0.800%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 14:59
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:59
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.59%E -3.04%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:59
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 14:59
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 15:00
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 14:59
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 14:59
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 14:59
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 14:59
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -9.59%E -3.04%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 15:00
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -9.59%E -3.04%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 15:00
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -9.59%E -3.04%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 15:00
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 14:59
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 14:59
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-21 15:00
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.61%EV -9.46%E -4.55%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -3.85%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 15:00
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.61%EV -9.46%E -4.55%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -3.85%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 14:59
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -10.77%E -5.25%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -2.80%E -0.800%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 15:00
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -10.77%E -5.25%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 15:00
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -10.77%E -5.25%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-21 14:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-02-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.41%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%1.4%2026-02-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.41%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%1.4%2026-02-21 15:00
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.02%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45%1.9%2026-02-21 15:00
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.96%3.1%2026-02-21 15:00