Language:English
Gillingham v Fleetwood Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gillingham (Local)
Prediction 42.20%2.37fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -3.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.93%42.31%42.20%44.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.042.152.172.2749.02%46.46%46.08%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fleetwood Town (Visit)
Prediction 28.98%3.45fair odd
EV -0.013%
Edge -0.004%
Kelly -0.005%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.65%28.93%28.99%30.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.263.203.4533.33%30.70%31.25%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.81%3.47fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -0.598%
Kelly -0.848%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.72%28.76%28.80%30.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.203.203.4034.72%31.26%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gillingham (Local): 42.20%; Fleetwood Town (Visit): 28.98%; Draw: 28.81%. For Fleetwood Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.4504. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.4500, with an expected value of -0.013%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.98%EV -4.19%E -1.85%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.61%EV -3.49%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.41%EV -6.64%E -2.05%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.92%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.92%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 14:38 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.03%E -0.598%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.03%E -0.598%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.53%EV -5.46%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.20%EV -10.74%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.27%EV -5.20%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.53%EV -5.46%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.20%EV -10.74%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.27%EV -5.20%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.31%E -2.84%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.31%E -2.84%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.32%EV -6.73%E -3.04%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -1.46%E -0.430%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -10.68%E -3.44%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.92%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.92%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:33 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.92%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.71%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.24%E -2.93%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.68%E -3.44%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -8.71%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -10.68%E -3.44%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.68%E -3.44%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -13.05%E -4.35%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.68%E -3.44%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.54%EV -7.99%E -3.67%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.35%EV -8.95%E -2.83%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.17%EV -8.84%E -4.09%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -8.71%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -9.24%E -2.93%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.26%E -4.31%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.92%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -9.26%E -4.31%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -8.71%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.26%E -4.31%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.68%E -3.44%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.26%E -4.31%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.68%E -3.44%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.26%E -4.31%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.68%E -3.44%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.26%E -4.31%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.68%E -3.44%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -11.37%E -5.41%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.92%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -11.37%E -5.41%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -11.37%E -5.41%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -13.05%E -4.35%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -17.02%E -5.91%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-07 14:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -13.06%E -6.34%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-05 12:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -13.06%E -6.34%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-05 12:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -13.06%E -6.34%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-05 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -13.06%E -6.34%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-05 13:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -13.06%E -6.34%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-05 12:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -13.06%E -6.34%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-05 12:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -13.06%E -6.34%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-05 13:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -13.06%E -6.34%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-05 13:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -13.06%E -6.34%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-05 13:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -13.06%E -6.34%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-05 13:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -13.06%E -6.34%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-05 13:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.49%EV -13.90%E -6.81%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -1.46%E -0.430%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.24%E -2.93%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-05 12:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.49%EV -13.90%E -6.81%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -1.46%E -0.430%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.24%E -2.93%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-05 13:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.49%EV -13.90%E -6.81%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -1.46%E -0.430%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.24%E -2.93%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-05 13:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.98% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33% | 0.3% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.98% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33% | 0.3% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.98% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33% | 0.3% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.98% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33% | 0.3% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.84% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41% | 1.5% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |