La escuela de los momios

Gillingham v Fleetwood Town

Inicio: 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Gillingham (Local)

Predicción 42.20%2.37momio equitativo
EV -4.19%
Ventaja -1.85%
Kelly -3.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.93%42.31%42.20%44.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.042.152.172.2749.02%46.46%46.08%44.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Fleetwood Town (Visitante)

Predicción 28.98%3.45momio equitativo
EV -0.013%
Ventaja -0.004%
Kelly -0.005%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.65%28.93%28.99%30.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.263.203.4533.33%30.70%31.25%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.81%3.47momio equitativo
EV -2.03%
Ventaja -0.598%
Kelly -0.848%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.72%28.76%28.80%30.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.203.203.4034.72%31.26%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 41.98%EV -4.19%E -1.85%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.61%EV -3.49%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.41%EV -6.64%E -2.05%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 14:50
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.92%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 14:19
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.92%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 14:38
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.03%E -0.598%K -0.848%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 14:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.03%E -0.598%K -0.848%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 14:35
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.53%EV -5.46%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.20%EV -10.74%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.27%EV -5.20%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:44
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.53%EV -5.46%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.20%EV -10.74%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.27%EV -5.20%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:45
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.31%E -2.84%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:55
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.31%E -2.84%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:55
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.32%EV -6.73%E -3.04%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -1.46%E -0.430%K -0.609%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -10.68%E -3.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:54
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:45
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.92%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:35
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.92%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:33
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:39
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 14:45
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 14:00
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.92%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 14:34
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.71%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.24%E -2.93%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:54
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:55
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.68%E -3.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:39
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -8.71%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -10.68%E -3.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 14:49
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.68%E -3.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 14:00
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -13.05%E -4.35%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.68%E -3.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-07 14:35
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.54%EV -7.99%E -3.67%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.35%EV -8.95%E -2.83%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 14:54
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.17%EV -8.84%E -4.09%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -8.71%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -9.24%E -2.93%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 14:44
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.26%E -4.31%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.92%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:39
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -9.26%E -4.31%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -8.71%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:34
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.26%E -4.31%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.68%E -3.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 14:40
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.26%E -4.31%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.68%E -3.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 14:55
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.26%E -4.31%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.68%E -3.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 14:55
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.26%E -4.31%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.68%E -3.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-07 14:54
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -11.37%E -5.41%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.92%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 14:25
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -11.37%E -5.41%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -11.37%E -5.41%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -13.05%E -4.35%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -17.02%E -5.91%K -9.05%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-07 14:40
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -13.06%E -6.34%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-05 12:59
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -13.06%E -6.34%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-05 12:59
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -13.06%E -6.34%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-05 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -13.06%E -6.34%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-05 13:00
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -13.06%E -6.34%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-05 12:59
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -13.06%E -6.34%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-05 12:59
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -13.06%E -6.34%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-05 13:00
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -13.06%E -6.34%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-05 13:00
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -13.06%E -6.34%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-05 13:10
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -13.06%E -6.34%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-05 13:10
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -13.06%E -6.34%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-05 13:09
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.49%EV -13.90%E -6.81%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -1.46%E -0.430%K -0.609%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.24%E -2.93%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-05 12:59
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 44.49%EV -13.90%E -6.81%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -1.46%E -0.430%K -0.609%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.24%E -2.93%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-05 13:00
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.49%EV -13.90%E -6.81%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -1.46%E -0.430%K -0.609%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.24%E -2.93%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-05 13:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33%0.3%2026-03-07 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33%0.3%2026-03-07 14:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33%0.3%2026-03-07 14:35
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33%0.3%2026-03-07 14:35
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%1.5%2026-03-07 14:39