Language:English
Fleetwood Town v Gillingham
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fleetwood Town (Local)
Prediction 49.00%2.04fair odd
EV -4.46%
Edge -2.29%
Kelly -4.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.90%49.17%48.85%52.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.891.911.9557.14%52.83%52.36%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gillingham (Visit)
Prediction 24.31%4.11fair odd
EV -0.318%
Edge -0.078%
Kelly -0.103%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.47%24.24%24.33%25.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.773.804.1029.41%26.51%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.69%3.75fair odd
EV +1.43%
Edge +0.376%
Kelly +0.510%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.90%26.59%26.82%28.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.423.403.8030.77%29.21%29.41%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fleetwood Town (Local): 49.00%; Gillingham (Visit): 24.31%; Draw: 26.69%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.75. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.43%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.97%EV -8.38%E -4.48%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.95%EV -3.24%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.08%EV +1.43%E +0.376%K +0.510%G +0.007% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -1.24%E -0.336%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 13:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -14.26%E -8.15%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -0.318%E -0.078%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -1.24%E -0.336%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -6.40%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -2.58%E -0.706%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -7.89%E -4.20%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -8.83%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.91%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.14%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -3.91%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -10.34%E -5.65%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -12.47%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -3.91%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 22:23 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.22%EV -8.87%E -4.77%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.24%EV -2.26%E -0.563%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.54%EV -6.05%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.75%E -0.687%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.75%E -0.687%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 02:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.75%E -0.687%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 02:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.87%EV -5.44%E -2.82%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -5.18%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-20 08:38 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 15:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -6.91%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -2.75%E -0.687%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 11:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -8.38%E -4.48%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -0.318%E -0.078%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.44%E -2.82%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -8.83%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 15:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 13:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -2.75%E -0.687%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 13:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -2.75%E -0.687%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -10.34%E -5.65%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -2.75%E -0.687%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 13:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -7.89%E -4.20%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -10.04%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 22:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 13:53 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -6.91%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.18%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.91%E -2.29%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 02:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -6.91%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.18%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.91%E -2.29%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 02:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.18%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 02:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -6.91%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -5.18%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 13:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -6.91%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -5.18%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 13:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -10.04%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-19 15:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -10.04%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-19 14:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -8.38%E -4.48%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -10.04%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-20 09:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.46%EV -8.38%E -4.48%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.04%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.58%E -3.16%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-20 08:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.36%EV -5.93%E -3.09%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -3.97%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -7.89%E -4.20%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -0.318%E -0.078%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 05:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 05:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 05:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 05:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.94%EV -5.93%E -3.09%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.75%EV -14.91%E -4.26%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-20 00:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.94%EV -5.93%E -3.09%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.75%EV -14.91%E -4.26%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-20 00:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.94%EV -5.93%E -3.09%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.75%EV -14.91%E -4.26%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-20 00:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.94%EV -5.93%E -3.09%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.75%EV -14.91%E -4.26%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-20 00:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.94%EV -5.93%E -3.09%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.75%EV -14.91%E -4.26%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-20 00:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.94%EV -5.93%E -3.09%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.75%EV -14.91%E -4.26%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-20 00:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.94%EV -5.93%E -3.09%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.75%EV -14.91%E -4.26%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-20 00:36 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.94%EV -5.93%E -3.09%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.75%EV -14.91%E -4.26%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-20 00:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.94%EV -5.93%E -3.09%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.75%EV -14.91%E -4.26%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-20 00:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -16.12%E -4.67%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-20 06:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -8.38%E -4.48%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -6.40%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -13.25%E -4.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.96%EV -7.40%E -3.91%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.73%EV -16.12%E -4.67%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.31%EV -13.25%E -4.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-20 00:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.92%EV -7.89%E -4.20%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -17.34%E -5.10%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -13.25%E -4.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-20 06:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.92%EV -7.89%E -4.20%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -17.34%E -5.10%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -13.25%E -4.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-20 06:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.07% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.10% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.07% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.10% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.07% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.10% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14% | 0.7% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |