A Escola das Odds

Fleetwood Town v Chesterfield FC

Início: 2026-04-18 14:02 UTC

Final: Fleetwood Town 1–1 Chesterfield FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Fleetwood Town (Local)

Previsão 28.86%3.46odd justa
EV -4.18%
Vantagem -1.26%
Kelly -1.80%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.27%28.94%28.93%32.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.113.203.3236.36%32.20%31.25%30.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chesterfield FC (Visitante)

Previsão 44.02%2.27odd justa
EV -0.958%
Vantagem -0.426%
Kelly -0.766%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.77%43.92%44.02%46.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.122.102.2550.00%47.08%47.62%44.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.12%3.69odd justa
EV -2.37%
Vantagem -0.658%
Kelly -0.911%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.70%27.14%27.04%29.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.383.403.6033.33%29.63%29.41%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.21%EV -4.18%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.16%EV -4.48%E -2.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.64%EV -11.32%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 14:00
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.19%EV -9.32%E -4.52%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:59
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.19%EV -9.32%E -4.52%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -2.37%E -0.658%K -0.911%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 14:00
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 13:59
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Pinnacle3.29I 30.40%NM 28.97%EV -5.05%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.55%EV -5.80%E -2.71%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -2.37%E -0.658%K -0.911%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 14:00
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:59
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -8.44%E -4.06%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:59
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 13:59
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.86%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.79%EV -8.88%E -4.29%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -13.22%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -11.86%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Marathon Bet3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -7.07%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.31%EV -8.00%E -3.83%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -6.71%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:59
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:58
betfred_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:59
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:58
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:00
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 14:00
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -18.64%E -6.21%K -9.32%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -9.09%E -2.88%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:59
Codere (IT)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -9.09%E -2.88%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 14:00
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -9.09%E -2.88%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -16.88%E -5.86%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.77%EV -0.958%E -0.426%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:00
BetRivers2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -16.88%E -5.86%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.77%EV -0.958%E -0.426%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 13:47
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -16.88%E -5.86%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.77%EV -0.958%E -0.426%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:00
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -16.88%E -5.86%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.77%EV -0.958%E -0.426%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -17.75%E -6.23%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -1.84%E -0.824%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -17.75%E -6.23%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -1.84%E -0.824%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -17.75%E -6.23%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -1.84%E -0.824%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -17.75%E -6.23%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -1.84%E -0.824%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -17.75%E -6.23%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -1.84%E -0.824%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -19.19%E -6.85%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -19.19%E -6.85%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -19.19%E -6.85%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -20.63%E -7.50%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.04%EV -4.48%E -2.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -20.63%E -7.50%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.15%EV -4.92%E -2.28%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%1.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%1.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%1.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.34%3.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%3.1%2026-04-18 14:00