La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Fleetwood Town v Chesterfield FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fleetwood Town (Local)
Predicción 28.86%3.46momio equitativo
EV -4.18%
Ventaja -1.26%
Kelly -1.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.27%28.94%28.93%32.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.113.203.3236.36%32.20%31.25%30.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Chesterfield FC (Visitante)
Predicción 44.02%2.27momio equitativo
EV -0.958%
Ventaja -0.426%
Kelly -0.766%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.77%43.92%44.02%46.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.122.102.2550.00%47.08%47.62%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.12%3.69momio equitativo
EV -2.37%
Ventaja -0.658%
Kelly -0.911%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.70%27.14%27.04%29.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.383.403.6033.33%29.63%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.21%EV -4.18%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.16%EV -4.48%E -2.06%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.64%EV -11.32%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Bet Victor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.19%EV -9.32%E -4.52%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.19%EV -9.32%E -4.52%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Sky Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -2.37%E -0.658%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Pinnacle | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.97%EV -5.05%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.55%EV -5.80%E -2.71%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -2.37%E -0.658%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| William Hill | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| NordicBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -8.44%E -4.06%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BetUS | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.86%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Bovada | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.79%EV -8.88%E -4.29%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -13.22%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Paddy Power | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -11.86%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -7.07%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.31%EV -8.00%E -3.83%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -6.71%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Coolbet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 13:58 |
| betfred_uk | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BetMGM | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 13:58 |
| DraftKings | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Neds | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Coral | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| theScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -18.64%E -6.21%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Bet Right | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -9.09%E -2.88%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -9.09%E -2.88%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| PlayUp | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -9.09%E -2.88%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betway | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Everygame | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Unibet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -16.88%E -5.86%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.77%EV -0.958%E -0.426%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -16.88%E -5.86%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.77%EV -0.958%E -0.426%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 13:47 |
| TABtouch | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -16.88%E -5.86%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.77%EV -0.958%E -0.426%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| betPARX | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -16.88%E -5.86%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.77%EV -0.958%E -0.426%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -17.75%E -6.23%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -1.84%E -0.824%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -17.75%E -6.23%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -1.84%E -0.824%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Casumo | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -17.75%E -6.23%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -1.84%E -0.824%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -17.75%E -6.23%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -1.84%E -0.824%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -17.75%E -6.23%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -1.84%E -0.824%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -19.19%E -6.85%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -19.19%E -6.85%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -19.19%E -6.85%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -20.63%E -7.50%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.04%EV -4.48%E -2.06%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -20.63%E -7.50%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.15%EV -4.92%E -2.28%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67% | 1.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67% | 1.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67% | 1.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.93% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.34% | 3.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Matchbook | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.92% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95% | 3.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |