L’École des cotes

Fleetwood Town v Chesterfield FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 14:02 UTC

Score final : Fleetwood Town 1–1 Chesterfield FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fleetwood Town (Local)

Prévision 28.86%3.46cote équitable
EV -4.18%
Avantage -1.26%
Kelly -1.80%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.27%28.94%28.93%32.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.113.203.3236.36%32.20%31.25%30.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chesterfield FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.02%2.27cote équitable
EV -0.958%
Avantage -0.426%
Kelly -0.766%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.77%43.92%44.02%46.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.122.102.2550.00%47.08%47.62%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.12%3.69cote équitable
EV -2.37%
Avantage -0.658%
Kelly -0.911%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.70%27.14%27.04%29.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.383.403.6033.33%29.63%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.21%EV -4.18%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.16%EV -4.48%E -2.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.64%EV -11.32%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 14:00
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.19%EV -9.32%E -4.52%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:59
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.19%EV -9.32%E -4.52%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -2.37%E -0.658%K -0.911%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 14:00
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 13:59
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Pinnacle3.29I 30.40%NM 28.97%EV -5.05%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.55%EV -5.80%E -2.71%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -2.37%E -0.658%K -0.911%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 14:00
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:59
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -8.44%E -4.06%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:59
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 13:59
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.86%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.79%EV -8.88%E -4.29%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -13.22%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -11.86%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Marathon Bet3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -7.07%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.31%EV -8.00%E -3.83%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -6.71%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:59
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:58
betfred_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:59
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:58
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:00
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 14:00
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -18.64%E -6.21%K -9.32%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -9.09%E -2.88%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:59
Codere (IT)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -9.09%E -2.88%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 14:00
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -9.09%E -2.88%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -16.88%E -5.86%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.77%EV -0.958%E -0.426%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:00
BetRivers2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -16.88%E -5.86%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.77%EV -0.958%E -0.426%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 13:47
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -16.88%E -5.86%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.77%EV -0.958%E -0.426%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:00
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -16.88%E -5.86%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.77%EV -0.958%E -0.426%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -17.75%E -6.23%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -1.84%E -0.824%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -17.75%E -6.23%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -1.84%E -0.824%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -17.75%E -6.23%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -1.84%E -0.824%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -17.75%E -6.23%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -1.84%E -0.824%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -17.75%E -6.23%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -1.84%E -0.824%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -19.19%E -6.85%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -19.19%E -6.85%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -19.19%E -6.85%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -20.63%E -7.50%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.04%EV -4.48%E -2.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -20.63%E -7.50%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.15%EV -4.92%E -2.28%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%1.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%1.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%1.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.34%3.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%3.1%2026-04-18 14:00