Language:English
Exeter City v Walsall
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Exeter City (Local)
Prediction 38.05%2.63fair odd
EV -4.88%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -3.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.18%38.01%38.15%38.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.432.442.5042.55%41.08%40.98%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Walsall (Visit)
Prediction 34.46%2.90fair odd
EV -3.85%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.84%34.54%34.35%35.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.652.652.7940.00%37.81%37.74%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.49%3.64fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.287%
Kelly -0.397%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.95%27.45%27.50%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.363.343.6030.77%29.72%29.90%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Exeter City (Local): 38.05%; Walsall (Visit): 34.46%; Draw: 27.49%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -1.03%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -5.23%E -1.90%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 11:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -6.96%E -2.58%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.53%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.67%EV -9.37%E -3.56%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -9.71%E -3.71%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 14:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -8.68%E -3.27%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 13:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.26%EV -5.64%E -2.27%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.00%EV -3.85%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.74%EV -5.98%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.96%E -2.58%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 14:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.96%E -2.58%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 14:03 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.96%E -2.58%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.96%E -2.58%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 08:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.23%E -1.90%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 00:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.23%E -1.90%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -5.23%E -1.90%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -10.40%E -4.00%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -1.03%E -0.287%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -8.68%E -3.27%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.16%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -8.68%E -3.27%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.16%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.83%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -6.27%E -2.30%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 14:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.83%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -6.27%E -2.30%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.68%E -3.27%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -10.40%E -4.00%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -10.40%E -4.00%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.68%E -3.27%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 08:37 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -10.40%E -4.00%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -12.12%E -4.75%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.28%EV -7.16%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.84%EV -4.89%E -1.77%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.28%EV -7.16%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.84%EV -4.89%E -1.77%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.01%EV -7.16%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.22%EV -6.61%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.77%EV -8.18%E -2.45%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.01%EV -7.16%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.22%EV -6.61%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.77%EV -8.18%E -2.45%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -7.54%E -3.10%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -12.12%E -4.75%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -7.54%E -3.10%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -12.12%E -4.75%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -7.54%E -3.10%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -12.12%E -4.75%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -7.54%E -3.10%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -12.12%E -4.75%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -7.54%E -3.10%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -12.12%E -4.75%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -7.54%E -3.10%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -12.12%E -4.75%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -7.54%E -3.10%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -12.12%E -4.75%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -7.54%E -3.10%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -12.12%E -4.75%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -7.54%E -3.10%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -12.12%E -4.75%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 19:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.68%E -3.62%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -5.23%E -1.90%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 13:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -8.68%E -3.62%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.96%E -2.58%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-03 14:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.68%E -3.62%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.96%E -2.58%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 00:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.68%E -3.62%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.96%E -2.58%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 00:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.68%E -3.62%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.96%E -2.58%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.68%E -3.62%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.96%E -2.58%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 00:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -8.68%E -3.62%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -8.68%E -3.27%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -8.68%E -3.62%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -12.12%E -4.75%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -8.68%E -3.62%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -12.12%E -4.75%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -8.68%E -3.62%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -12.12%E -4.75%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-02 13:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -9.45%E -3.97%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.40%EV -9.71%E -3.71%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-04 09:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -9.45%E -3.97%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -13.85%E -5.54%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -9.45%E -3.97%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -13.85%E -5.54%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.28%EV -9.83%E -4.15%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -8.68%E -3.27%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 00:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.68%E -3.27%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-02 00:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.60% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.22% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.18% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.89% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.17% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.55% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.14% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.31% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.55% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.14% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.31% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.55% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.14% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.31% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |