Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Exeter City v Walsall

Início: 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC

Final: Exeter City 0–0 Walsall

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Exeter City (Local)

Previsão 38.05%2.63odd justa
EV -4.88%
Vantagem -1.95%
Kelly -3.25%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.18%38.01%38.15%38.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.432.442.5042.55%41.08%40.98%40.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Walsall (Visitante)

Previsão 34.46%2.90odd justa
EV -3.85%
Vantagem -1.38%
Kelly -2.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.84%34.54%34.35%35.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.652.652.7940.00%37.81%37.74%35.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.49%3.64odd justa
EV -1.03%
Vantagem -0.287%
Kelly -0.397%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.95%27.45%27.50%28.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.363.343.6030.77%29.72%29.90%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Exeter City (Local): 38.05%; Walsall (Visitante): 34.46%; Empate: 27.49%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.64. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.60, com valor esperado de -1.03%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -5.23%E -1.90%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 11:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -6.96%E -2.58%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.53%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.67%EV -9.37%E -3.56%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 11:35
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -9.71%E -3.71%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 14:05
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -8.68%E -3.27%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 13:50
Pinnacle🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.26%EV -5.64%E -2.27%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.00%EV -3.85%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.74%EV -5.98%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 14:15
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.96%E -2.58%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 14:04
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.96%E -2.58%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 14:03
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.96%E -2.58%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 08:35
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.96%E -2.58%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 08:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.23%E -1.90%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 00:24
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.23%E -1.90%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 14:00
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -5.23%E -1.90%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 14:25
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -10.40%E -4.00%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -1.03%E -0.287%K -0.397%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 14:05
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -8.68%E -3.27%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.16%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 08:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -8.68%E -3.27%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.16%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 08:35
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.83%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -6.27%E -2.30%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 14:34
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.83%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -6.27%E -2.30%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 14:35
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.68%E -3.27%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 08:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -10.40%E -4.00%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 19:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -10.40%E -4.00%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 12:40
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.68%E -3.27%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 08:37
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -10.40%E -4.00%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 13:50
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -12.12%E -4.75%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.28%EV -7.16%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.84%EV -4.89%E -1.77%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 14:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.28%EV -7.16%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.84%EV -4.89%E -1.77%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 14:25
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.01%EV -7.16%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.22%EV -6.61%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.77%EV -8.18%E -2.45%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.01%EV -7.16%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.22%EV -6.61%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.77%EV -8.18%E -2.45%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -7.54%E -3.10%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -12.12%E -4.75%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 18:50
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -7.54%E -3.10%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -12.12%E -4.75%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -7.54%E -3.10%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -12.12%E -4.75%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 18:50
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -7.54%E -3.10%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -12.12%E -4.75%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 18:50
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -7.54%E -3.10%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -12.12%E -4.75%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -7.54%E -3.10%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -12.12%E -4.75%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -7.54%E -3.10%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -12.12%E -4.75%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 18:50
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -7.54%E -3.10%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -12.12%E -4.75%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 18:50
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -7.54%E -3.10%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -12.12%E -4.75%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 19:19
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.68%E -3.62%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -5.23%E -1.90%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 13:34
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -8.68%E -3.62%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.96%E -2.58%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 14:05
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.68%E -3.62%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.96%E -2.58%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 00:25
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.68%E -3.62%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.96%E -2.58%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 00:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.68%E -3.62%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.96%E -2.58%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 00:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.68%E -3.62%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.96%E -2.58%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 00:24
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -8.68%E -3.62%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -8.68%E -3.27%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 14:05
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -8.68%E -3.62%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -12.12%E -4.75%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -8.68%E -3.62%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -12.12%E -4.75%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 18:50
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -8.68%E -3.62%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -12.12%E -4.75%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-02 13:50
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -9.45%E -3.97%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.40%EV -9.71%E -3.71%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 09:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -9.45%E -3.97%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -13.85%E -5.54%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -9.45%E -3.97%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -13.85%E -5.54%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 18:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.28%EV -9.83%E -4.15%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -8.68%E -3.27%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 00:24
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.68%E -3.27%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-02 00:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 38.60%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.18%3.6%2026-09-04 14:20
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 38.89%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.17%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%4.5%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 38.55%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.31%4.6%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 38.55%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.31%4.6%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 38.55%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.31%4.6%2026-09-04 14:05