Language:English
Exeter City v Tranmere Rovers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Exeter City (Local)
Prediction 41.71%2.40fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -3.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.52%41.71%41.68%42.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.212.212.3047.62%45.33%45.15%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tranmere Rovers (Visit)
Prediction 30.53%3.28fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -0.719%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.09%30.56%30.55%31.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.043.053.2034.72%32.87%32.79%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.76%3.60fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -0.808%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.61%27.73%27.77%28.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.313.303.5031.75%30.22%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Exeter City (Local): 41.71%; Tranmere Rovers (Visit): 30.53%; Draw: 27.76%. For Tranmere Rovers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.28. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.20, with an expected value of -2.30%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-18 14:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-18 04:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 04:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -9.93%E -3.37%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 04:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -9.93%E -3.37%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 04:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.18%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.71%EV -5.66%E -1.83%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -2.83%E -0.808%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-18 14:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-15 11:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 14:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.88%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -4.21%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.83%E -0.808%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-18 06:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.01%EV -4.74%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 09:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.01%EV -4.74%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 09:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-18 14:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-15 11:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-16 09:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -11.46%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-15 11:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -11.46%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-15 11:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -11.46%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-15 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -11.46%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-15 11:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.52%EV -7.00%E -3.14%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.26%EV -6.58%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.23%EV -8.93%E -2.72%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-17 06:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -7.41%E -3.34%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.88%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 14:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -7.41%E -3.34%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.88%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 14:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -7.41%E -3.34%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.88%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 14:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -7.41%E -3.34%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -6.88%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-15 11:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -7.41%E -3.34%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -6.88%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-15 11:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.65%EV -7.83%E -3.54%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.28%EV -7.19%E -2.36%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.07%EV -8.93%E -2.72%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-17 06:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.83%E -0.808%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-16 14:01 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -2.83%E -0.808%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-18 14:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.16%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-18 13:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-18 14:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-18 14:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-18 11:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-18 13:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-18 14:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -12.07%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-13 08:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.70%EV -9.08%E -4.17%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -2.30%E -0.719%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-16 08:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.70%EV -9.08%E -4.17%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -2.30%E -0.719%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-16 08:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -9.08%E -4.17%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-15 11:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.33%E -4.81%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-18 14:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.33%E -4.81%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-15 11:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -11.58%E -5.46%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.16%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-16 08:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -11.58%E -5.46%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.16%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-16 08:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -11.58%E -5.46%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.16%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-16 08:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -11.58%E -5.46%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.16%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-16 08:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -11.58%E -5.46%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.16%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-16 08:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -11.58%E -5.46%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.16%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-16 08:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -11.58%E -5.46%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.16%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-16 08:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -11.58%E -5.46%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.16%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-16 08:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -11.58%E -5.46%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.16%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-16 08:11 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -12.42%E -5.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -6.88%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -12.54%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-16 08:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -12.42%E -5.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -6.88%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -12.54%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-16 08:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.03% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.71% | 1.7% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.03% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.71% | 1.7% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.03% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.71% | 1.7% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.24% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61% | 2.0% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.47% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49% | 3.9% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |