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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Exeter City v Tranmere Rovers

Início: 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Final: Exeter City 0–0 Tranmere Rovers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Exeter City (Local)

Previsão 41.71%2.40odd justa
EV -4.08%
Vantagem -1.77%
Kelly -3.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.52%41.71%41.68%42.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.212.212.3047.62%45.33%45.15%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tranmere Rovers (Visitante)

Previsão 30.53%3.28odd justa
EV -2.30%
Vantagem -0.719%
Kelly -1.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.09%30.56%30.55%31.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.883.043.053.2034.72%32.87%32.79%31.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.76%3.60odd justa
EV -2.83%
Vantagem -0.808%
Kelly -1.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.61%27.73%27.77%28.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.313.303.5031.75%30.22%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Exeter City (Local): 41.71%; Tranmere Rovers (Visitante): 30.53%; Empate: 27.76%. Para Tranmere Rovers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.28. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.20, com valor esperado de -2.30%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 14:15
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 04:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 04:10
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -9.93%E -3.37%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 04:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -9.93%E -3.37%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 04:10
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.18%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.71%EV -5.66%E -1.83%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -2.83%E -0.808%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 14:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 11:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 14:14
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.88%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -4.21%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 14:00
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.83%E -0.808%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 06:10
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.01%EV -4.74%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 09:20
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.01%EV -4.74%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 09:20
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 14:15
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-15 11:15
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-16 09:05
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-15 22:20
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -11.46%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 11:00
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -11.46%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 11:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -11.46%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 11:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -11.46%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 11:00
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.52%EV -7.00%E -3.14%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.26%EV -6.58%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.23%EV -8.93%E -2.72%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-17 06:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -7.41%E -3.34%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.88%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 14:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -7.41%E -3.34%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.88%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 14:04
BetUS🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -7.41%E -3.34%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.88%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 14:10
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -7.41%E -3.34%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -6.88%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-15 11:00
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -7.41%E -3.34%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -6.88%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-15 11:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.65%EV -7.83%E -3.54%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.28%EV -7.19%E -2.36%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.07%EV -8.93%E -2.72%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-17 06:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.83%E -0.808%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-16 14:01
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -2.83%E -0.808%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 14:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.16%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 13:45
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 14:15
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 14:15
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 11:45
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 13:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 14:10
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -12.07%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 08:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.70%EV -9.08%E -4.17%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -2.30%E -0.719%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 08:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.70%EV -9.08%E -4.17%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -2.30%E -0.719%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 08:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -9.08%E -4.17%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-15 11:10
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.33%E -4.81%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 14:15
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.33%E -4.81%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-15 11:00
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -11.58%E -5.46%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.16%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-16 08:10
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -11.58%E -5.46%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.16%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-16 08:09
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -11.58%E -5.46%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.16%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-16 08:10
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -11.58%E -5.46%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.16%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-16 08:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -11.58%E -5.46%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.16%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-16 08:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -11.58%E -5.46%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.16%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-16 08:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -11.58%E -5.46%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.16%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-16 08:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -11.58%E -5.46%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.16%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-16 08:10
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -11.58%E -5.46%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.16%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-16 08:11
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -12.42%E -5.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -6.88%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -12.54%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-16 08:10
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -12.42%E -5.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -6.88%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -12.54%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-16 08:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.03%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.71%1.7%2026-09-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.03%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.71%1.7%2026-09-18 14:55
Matchbook◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.03%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.71%1.7%2026-09-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.24%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61%2.0%2026-09-18 14:55
Smarkets◎2.32I 43.10%NM 41.47%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%3.9%2026-09-18 15:05