Language:English
Crewe Alexandra v Tranmere Rovers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Crewe Alexandra (Local)
Prediction 45.73%2.19fair odd
EV -3.51%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -3.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.62%45.75%45.62%47.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.012.002.1152.36%49.65%50.00%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tranmere Rovers (Visit)
Prediction 27.22%3.67fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.406%
Kelly -0.561%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.13%27.19%27.34%28.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.423.403.6230.77%29.25%29.41%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.05%3.70fair odd
EV +0.094%
Edge +0.025%
Kelly +0.035%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.09%27.07%27.03%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.403.403.7033.33%29.40%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Crewe Alexandra (Local): 45.73%; Tranmere Rovers (Visit): 27.22%; Draw: 27.05%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.697. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.700, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.094%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -10.83%E -5.55%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV +0.094%E +0.025%K +0.035%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.15%EV -7.63%E -3.78%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.31%EV -1.47%E -0.406%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.53%EV -2.88%E -0.803%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.26%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -3.96%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -3.51%E -1.66%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.33%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.33%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 11:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -3.51%E -1.66%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.33%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.33%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 11:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 03:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.33%EV -4.88%E -2.35%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 15:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.26%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 06:33 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 12:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.83%E -5.55%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -10.83%E -5.55%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -12.66%E -6.63%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 26.68%EV -5.01%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.76%EV -5.86%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -9.46%E -4.78%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.61%EV -5.28%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.61%EV -5.86%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -9.46%E -4.78%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -3.37%E -0.951%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -9.46%E -4.78%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -3.37%E -0.951%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-27 19:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 03:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.88%E -2.35%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 19:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 03:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -9.46%E -4.78%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.91%E -5.03%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-22 15:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.91%E -5.03%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.91%E -5.03%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.91%E -5.03%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-22 15:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.91%E -5.03%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.91%E -5.03%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.91%E -5.03%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.91%E -5.03%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.91%E -5.03%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.91%E -5.03%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 13:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 13:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.83%E -5.55%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-26 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 03:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 03:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -10.37%E -5.29%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-22 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -10.37%E -5.29%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-22 15:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -10.83%E -5.55%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-26 12:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -10.83%E -5.55%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.08%EV -8.08%E -4.02%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -6.26%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 19:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.26%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.26%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-27 19:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-27 19:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 12:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 12:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 13:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 13:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -12.66%E -6.63%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -18.84%E -6.28%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35% | 1.2% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35% | 1.2% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27% | 1.5% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58% | 1.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.65% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.9% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |