La escuela de los momios

Crewe Alexandra v Tranmere Rovers

Inicio: 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Crewe Alexandra (Local)

Predicción 45.73%2.19momio equitativo
EV -3.51%
Ventaja -1.66%
Kelly -3.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.62%45.75%45.62%47.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.012.002.1152.36%49.65%50.00%47.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tranmere Rovers (Visitante)

Predicción 27.22%3.67momio equitativo
EV -1.47%
Ventaja -0.406%
Kelly -0.561%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.13%27.19%27.34%28.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.423.403.6230.77%29.25%29.41%27.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.05%3.70momio equitativo
EV +0.094%
Ventaja +0.025%
Kelly +0.035%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.09%27.07%27.03%28.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.403.403.7033.33%29.40%29.41%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -10.83%E -5.55%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV +0.094%E +0.025%K +0.035%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:00
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 47.15%EV -7.63%E -3.78%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.31%EV -1.47%E -0.406%K -0.561%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.53%EV -2.88%E -0.803%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 14:00
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.26%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -3.96%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 14:00
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -3.51%E -1.66%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.33%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.33%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 11:55
LowVig.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -3.51%E -1.66%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.33%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.33%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 11:55
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 03:09
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.33%EV -4.88%E -2.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 15:04
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.26%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 06:33
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 12:04
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.83%E -5.55%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 14:00
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -10.83%E -5.55%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 14:00
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -12.66%E -6.63%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 14:00
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.68%EV -5.01%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.76%EV -5.86%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 14:00
Marathon Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -9.46%E -4.78%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.61%EV -5.28%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.61%EV -5.86%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 14:00
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -9.46%E -4.78%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -3.37%E -0.951%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:00
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -9.46%E -4.78%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -3.37%E -0.951%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:00
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 19:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 03:09
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.88%E -2.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 19:09
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 03:09
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -9.46%E -4.78%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 15:14
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.91%E -5.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 15:15
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.91%E -5.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 15:14
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.91%E -5.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 15:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.91%E -5.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 15:15
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.91%E -5.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 15:14
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.91%E -5.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 15:14
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.91%E -5.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 15:14
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.91%E -5.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 15:14
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.91%E -5.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 15:14
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.91%E -5.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 15:14
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 12:20
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 13:54
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 13:30
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.83%E -5.55%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-26 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 03:09
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 03:09
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -10.37%E -5.29%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 15:15
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -10.37%E -5.29%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 15:15
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -10.83%E -5.55%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-26 12:35
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -10.83%E -5.55%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 14:00
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 45.08%EV -8.08%E -4.02%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 15:14
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -6.26%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:09
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.26%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 14:00
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.26%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-27 19:09
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-27 19:10
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 12:54
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 12:55
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 13:44
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -12.66%E -6.63%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -18.84%E -6.28%K -9.42%G +0.000%16.0%2026-02-28 12:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%1.2%2026-02-28 14:15
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%1.2%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27%1.5%2026-02-28 14:15
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58%1.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.65%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.9%2026-02-28 14:15