The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Crawley Town v Bristol Rovers

2026-08-29 14:00 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Crawley Town (Local)

Prediction 28.52%3.51fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.461%
Kelly -0.649%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.28%28.71%28.23%30.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.183.203.4533.33%31.44%31.25%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bristol Rovers (Visit)

Prediction 43.42%2.30fair odd
EV -4.48%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -3.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.49%43.23%43.80%44.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.142.132.2048.78%46.78%46.95%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.06%3.56fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -0.516%
Kelly -0.722%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.83%28.06%27.97%28.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.333.303.5030.77%30.02%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Crawley Town (Local): 28.52%; Bristol Rovers (Visit): 43.42%; Draw: 28.06%. For Crawley Town (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.51. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.45, with an expected value of -1.59%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -1.59%E -0.461%K -0.649%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.19%EV -7.52%E -3.53%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 22:00
DraftKings🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -3.02%E -0.887%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 21:49
1xBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.76%EV -7.52%E -3.53%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -7.98%E -2.43%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 21:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 27.77%EV -4.73%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.96%EV -8.38%E -3.97%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.28%EV -7.98%E -2.43%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 21:50
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -1.81%E -0.516%K -0.722%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 19:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -1.81%E -0.516%K -0.722%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 19:44
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 19:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -7.29%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -1.81%E -0.516%K -0.722%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 19:44
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.29%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -7.95%E -3.75%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 19:44
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -9.69%E -4.66%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 19:45
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 19:43
Bet Right🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -10.15%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 19:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -11.57%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.48%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 19:50
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.57%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-22 19:40
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -13.00%E -4.26%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.48%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 22:31
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -13.00%E -4.26%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 23:34
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -14.43%E -4.81%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -4.48%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 19:35
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -14.43%E -4.81%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -4.48%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 19:39
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -14.43%E -4.81%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -4.48%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 19:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -14.43%E -4.81%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -4.48%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 19:35
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -14.43%E -4.81%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.00%EV -5.78%E -2.66%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 19:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.82I 35.46%NM 30.36%2.06I 48.54%NM 41.56%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.07%16.8%2026-08-22 19:50

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.