Language:English
Crawley Town v Bristol Rovers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Crawley Town (Local)
Prediction 22.78%4.39fair odd
EV +2.96%
Edge +0.655%
Kelly +0.841%
Growth +0.025%
assuming max odds 4.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.71%23.52%22.65%30.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.934.004.5233.33%25.45%25.00%22.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bristol Rovers (Visit)
Prediction 53.02%1.89fair odd
EV +14.00%
Edge +6.51%
Kelly +12.17%
Growth +1.70%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.57%52.11%53.22%55.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.781.752.1559.88%56.29%57.14%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.20%4.13fair odd
EV +1.64%
Edge +0.391%
Kelly +0.513%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.33%24.37%24.13%26.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.743.804.2029.41%26.72%26.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Crawley Town (Local): 22.78%; Bristol Rovers (Visit): 53.02%; Draw: 24.20%. For Bristol Rovers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.00%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -31.66%E -10.55%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV +14.00%E +6.51%K +12.17%G +1.70% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -17.72%E -5.21%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 07:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -25.97%E -7.99%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV +8.69%E +4.24%K +8.28%G +0.720% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 13:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -19.14%E -5.39%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.65%EV -1.38%E -0.742%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -15.30%E -4.37%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -19.14%E -5.39%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -1.91%E -1.03%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -15.30%E -4.37%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -19.14%E -5.39%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -1.91%E -1.03%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -15.30%E -4.37%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -19.14%E -5.39%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -1.91%E -1.03%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -15.30%E -4.37%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -19.14%E -5.39%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -1.91%E -1.03%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -15.30%E -4.37%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -19.14%E -5.39%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -1.91%E -1.03%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -15.30%E -4.37%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -19.14%E -5.39%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -1.91%E -1.03%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -15.30%E -4.37%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 13:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -19.14%E -5.39%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -1.91%E -1.03%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -15.30%E -4.37%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -19.14%E -5.39%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -1.91%E -1.03%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -15.30%E -4.37%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -20.28%E -5.79%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -1.91%E -1.03%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -15.30%E -4.37%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.46%EV -20.28%E -5.79%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.83%EV -16.51%E -4.79%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57%EV -21.41%E -6.21%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.48%EV -3.50%E -1.92%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -17.72%E -5.21%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57%EV -21.41%E -6.21%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.48%EV -3.50%E -1.92%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -17.72%E -5.21%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.33%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -6.61%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.95%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -10.03%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.91%EV -6.15%E -3.48%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -11.16%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -6.15%E -3.48%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.33%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.33%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -3.19%E -0.751%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -3.20%E -0.800%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.61%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.61%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.12%EV -1.82%E -0.423%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.79%EV -7.74%E -4.45%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.09%EV -0.054%E -0.013%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.33%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -7.74%E -4.45%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -0.780%E -0.190%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -6.61%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -7.74%E -4.45%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 13:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -6.61%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.30%EV -7.74%E -4.45%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -6.83%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV +1.64%E +0.391%K +0.513%G +0.008% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -6.61%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.77%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -4.41%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -6.61%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.77%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -4.41%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -3.20%E -0.800%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -6.61%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -8.80%E -5.12%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 13:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -6.61%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -8.80%E -5.12%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -6.61%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -8.80%E -5.12%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -6.61%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -8.80%E -5.12%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.52I 22.12%NM 20.71%EV +2.96%E +0.655%K +0.841%G +0.025% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.73%EV -9.33%E -5.46%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.56%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -11.16%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.61%EV -9.33%E -5.46%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV +2.50%E +0.556%K +0.715%G +0.018% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -9.86%E -5.80%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV +2.50%E +0.556%K +0.715%G +0.018% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -9.86%E -5.80%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -2.05%E -0.477%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -9.86%E -5.80%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.33%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -9.86%E -5.80%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.33%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -11.45%E -6.86%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -3.20%E -0.800%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -11.45%E -6.86%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.91% | 2.0% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |