Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Crawley Town v Bristol Rovers

Início: 2026-08-29 14:00 UTC

Final: Crawley Town 0–2 Bristol Rovers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Crawley Town (Local)

Previsão 22.78%4.39odd justa
EV +2.96%
Vantagem +0.655%
Kelly +0.841%
Crescimento +0.025%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.71%23.52%22.65%30.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.934.004.5233.33%25.45%25.00%22.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Bristol Rovers (Visitante)

Previsão 53.02%1.89odd justa
EV +14.00%
Vantagem +6.51%
Kelly +12.17%
Crescimento +1.70%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.57%52.11%53.22%55.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.781.752.1559.88%56.29%57.14%46.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.20%4.13odd justa
EV +1.64%
Vantagem +0.391%
Kelly +0.513%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.33%24.37%24.13%26.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.743.804.2029.41%26.72%26.32%23.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Crawley Town (Local): 22.78%; Bristol Rovers (Visitante): 53.02%; Empate: 24.20%. Para Bristol Rovers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.89. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.15, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +14.00%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -31.66%E -10.55%K -15.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV +14.00%E +6.51%K +12.17%G +1.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -17.72%E -5.21%K -7.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 07:55
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -25.97%E -7.99%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV +8.69%E +4.24%K +8.28%G +0.720%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 13:29
Unibet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -19.14%E -5.39%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.65%EV -1.38%E -0.742%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -15.30%E -4.37%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -19.14%E -5.39%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -1.91%E -1.03%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -15.30%E -4.37%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 13:40
TABtouch🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -19.14%E -5.39%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -1.91%E -1.03%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -15.30%E -4.37%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 13:45
BetRivers🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -19.14%E -5.39%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -1.91%E -1.03%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -15.30%E -4.37%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 13:45
Casumo🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -19.14%E -5.39%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -1.91%E -1.03%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -15.30%E -4.37%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 13:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -19.14%E -5.39%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -1.91%E -1.03%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -15.30%E -4.37%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 13:45
betPARX🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -19.14%E -5.39%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -1.91%E -1.03%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -15.30%E -4.37%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 13:44
Svenska Spel🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -19.14%E -5.39%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -1.91%E -1.03%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -15.30%E -4.37%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -19.14%E -5.39%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -1.91%E -1.03%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -15.30%E -4.37%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 13:45
Grosvenor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -20.28%E -5.79%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -1.91%E -1.03%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -15.30%E -4.37%K -6.12%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.46%EV -20.28%E -5.79%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.83%EV -16.51%E -4.79%K -6.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57%EV -21.41%E -6.21%K -8.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.48%EV -3.50%E -1.92%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -17.72%E -5.21%K -7.38%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57%EV -21.41%E -6.21%K -8.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.48%EV -3.50%E -1.92%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -17.72%E -5.21%K -7.38%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 13:45
betfred_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.33%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 13:49
Betr (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -6.61%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 13:50
Codere (IT)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.95%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 13:50
Bet Right🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -10.03%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.91%EV -6.15%E -3.48%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -11.16%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -6.15%E -3.48%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 13:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.33%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 13:45
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.33%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -3.19%E -0.751%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 13:45
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -3.20%E -0.800%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.61%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 13:45
Neds🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.61%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 13:45
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 13:50
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 13:49
Pinnacle🎯4.31I 23.20%NM 22.12%EV -1.82%E -0.423%K -0.551%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.79%EV -7.74%E -4.45%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.09%EV -0.054%E -0.013%K -0.017%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 13:50
DraftKings🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.33%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -7.74%E -4.45%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -0.780%E -0.190%K -0.252%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 13:49
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -6.61%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -7.74%E -4.45%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 13:44
Marathon Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -6.61%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.30%EV -7.74%E -4.45%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -6.83%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 13:55
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV +1.64%E +0.391%K +0.513%G +0.008%6.6%2026-08-29 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -6.61%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.77%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -4.41%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -6.61%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.77%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -4.41%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 13:55
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -3.20%E -0.800%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 13:55
LeoVegas🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -6.61%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 13:55
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -8.80%E -5.12%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:54
NordicBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -6.61%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -8.80%E -5.12%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 13:55
Betsson🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -6.61%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -8.80%E -5.12%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 13:55
PlayUp🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -6.61%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -8.80%E -5.12%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 13:55
1xBet🎯4.52I 22.12%NM 20.71%EV +2.96%E +0.655%K +0.841%G +0.025%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.73%EV -9.33%E -5.46%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.56%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:50
theScore Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -11.16%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.61%EV -9.33%E -5.46%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 13:49
betano_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV +2.50%E +0.556%K +0.715%G +0.018%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -9.86%E -5.80%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 13:50
Bet Victor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV +2.50%E +0.556%K +0.715%G +0.018%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -9.86%E -5.80%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 13:50
BetUS🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -2.05%E -0.477%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -9.86%E -5.80%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 13:49
Bovada🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.33%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -9.86%E -5.80%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 13:54
Tipico (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.33%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -11.45%E -6.86%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -3.20%E -0.800%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 13:50
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -11.45%E -6.86%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 13:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-08-29 13:55
Matchbook◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-08-29 13:50
Smarkets◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.91%2.0%2026-08-29 13:55