Language:English
Colchester United v Salford City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Colchester United (Local)
Prediction 42.98%2.33fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -2.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.70%42.93%42.94%43.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.192.202.2547.62%45.72%45.45%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Salford City (Visit)
Prediction 29.69%3.37fair odd
EV -3.50%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.62%29.76%29.71%31.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.043.103.2535.71%32.89%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.33%3.66fair odd
EV -0.240%
Edge -0.066%
Kelly -0.091%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.09%27.30%27.35%29.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.353.303.6533.33%29.83%30.30%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colchester United (Local): 42.98%; Salford City (Visit): 29.69%; Draw: 27.33%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.65, with an expected value of -0.240%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 12:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.89%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.89%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.89%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.89%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.89%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.89%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.89%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.89%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.89%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.89%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.89%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -14.49%E -5.03%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -11.17%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -14.49%E -5.03%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -11.17%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -14.49%E -5.03%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -11.17%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.14%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -6.47%E -2.05%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -2.97%E -0.838%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -3.50%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.47%E -2.05%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 11:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.47%E -2.05%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 10:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.34%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-26 02:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -11.17%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -11.17%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 10:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -16.86%E -6.02%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -18.01%E -6.00%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-02-25 21:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.31%E -2.89%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.03%EV -5.58%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.16%EV -0.240%E -0.066%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 11:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.89%EV -7.17%E -3.32%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 29.79%EV -7.66%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.33%EV -7.35%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 05:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.89%EV -7.17%E -3.32%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 29.79%EV -7.66%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.33%EV -7.35%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 05:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.07%EV -7.17%E -3.32%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -12.41%E -4.21%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -8.44%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-27 13:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.50%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.47%E -2.05%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.34%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 09:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.44%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 14:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.44%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 13:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -13.89%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -8.44%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-25 07:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.89%E -4.19%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.89%E -4.19%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.91%EV -9.32%E -4.42%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.32%EV -6.17%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -4.34%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 10:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.40% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.40% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.22% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37% | 1.5% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.22% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37% | 1.5% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.27% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54% | 2.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |