La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Colchester United v Salford City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Colchester United (Local)
Predicción 42.98%2.33momio equitativo
EV -3.30%
Ventaja -1.47%
Kelly -2.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.70%42.93%42.94%43.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.192.202.2547.62%45.72%45.45%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Salford City (Visitante)
Predicción 29.69%3.37momio equitativo
EV -3.50%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -1.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.62%29.76%29.71%31.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.043.103.2535.71%32.89%32.26%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.33%3.66momio equitativo
EV -0.240%
Ventaja -0.066%
Kelly -0.091%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.09%27.30%27.35%29.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.353.303.6533.33%29.83%30.30%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 12:04 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.89%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.89%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.89%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.89%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.89%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.89%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.89%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.89%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| betPARX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.89%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.89%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.89%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -14.49%E -5.03%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -11.17%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| LeoVegas | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -14.49%E -5.03%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -11.17%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -14.49%E -5.03%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -11.17%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.14%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -6.47%E -2.05%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -2.97%E -0.838%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -3.50%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.47%E -2.05%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 11:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.47%E -2.05%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 10:29 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.34%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-26 02:19 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -11.17%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -11.17%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 10:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -16.86%E -6.02%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -18.01%E -6.00%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-02-25 21:54 |
| Pinnacle | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.31%E -2.89%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.03%EV -5.58%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.16%EV -0.240%E -0.066%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 11:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.89%EV -7.17%E -3.32%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 29.79%EV -7.66%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.33%EV -7.35%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 05:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.89%EV -7.17%E -3.32%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 29.79%EV -7.66%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.33%EV -7.35%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 05:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.07%EV -7.17%E -3.32%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -12.41%E -4.21%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -8.44%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-27 13:04 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.50%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.47%E -2.05%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| 1xBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.34%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 09:30 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| William Hill | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.44%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 14:04 |
| BetUS | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.44%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 13:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -13.89%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -8.44%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-25 07:15 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.89%E -4.19%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.89%E -4.19%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.91%EV -9.32%E -4.42%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.32%EV -6.17%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -4.34%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 10:29 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.40% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Matchbook | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.40% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.22% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37% | 1.5% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.22% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37% | 1.5% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.27% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54% | 2.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |