Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colchester United v Oldham Athletic

Kickoff: 2026-08-22 14:01 UTC

Final: Colchester United 2–1 Oldham Athletic

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colchester United (Local)

Prediction 35.76%2.80fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.608%
Kelly -0.956%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.39%35.64%35.78%37.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.562.602.7542.55%39.08%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oldham Athletic (Visit)

Prediction 36.53%2.74fair odd
EV -4.29%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -2.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.83%36.57%36.53%38.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.542.552.6241.67%39.44%39.22%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.71%3.61fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -0.857%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.63%27.80%27.69%30.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.323.303.5033.33%30.10%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colchester United (Local): 35.76%; Oldham Athletic (Visit): 36.53%; Draw: 27.71%. For Colchester United (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.75, with an expected value of -1.67%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -1.67%E -0.608%K -0.956%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -10.50%E -4.29%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -3.00%E -0.857%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 13:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -1.67%E -0.608%K -0.956%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -6.85%E -2.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -16.86%E -5.62%K -8.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 13:00
Pinnacle🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.12%EV -2.75%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.03%EV -5.75%E -2.23%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.85%EV -4.94%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 13:40
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 13:35
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -12.33%E -5.14%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -3.00%E -0.857%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 13:35
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -10.50%E -4.29%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -12.33%E -5.14%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 13:50
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.88%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.57%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -4.39%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 11:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.85%E -2.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 22:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 13:35
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 13:35
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 13:35
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -12.33%E -5.14%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 13:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.51%EV -5.61%E -2.12%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.91%EV -7.21%E -2.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.51%EV -5.61%E -2.12%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.91%EV -7.21%E -2.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 13:55
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.28%EV -6.32%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.00%E -0.857%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 22:55
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -6.32%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -4.29%E -1.64%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 13:55
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -6.32%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 13:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.32%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 13:35
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.32%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 13:35
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.32%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.32%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.32%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 13:35
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.00%E -0.857%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 12:29
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.85%E -2.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 22:55
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 35.76%EV -7.39%E -2.85%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.18%EV -6.48%E -2.53%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 11:15
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -7.75%E -3.00%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -5.75%E -2.23%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -6.33%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 13:50
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.85%E -2.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-21 22:55
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.85%E -2.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 08:55
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.85%E -2.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 08:53
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.85%E -2.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.85%E -2.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-21 22:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 12:30
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.61%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.50%E -4.29%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 04:15
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.61%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 11:29
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.61%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 08:55
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -10.61%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -10.50%E -4.29%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-21 22:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -14.19%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 11:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -14.19%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 11:39
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -14.19%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 11:40
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -14.19%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 11:40
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -14.19%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 11:40
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -14.19%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 11:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -14.19%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 11:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -14.19%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 11:39
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -14.19%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 11:40
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.67%EV -14.90%E -6.26%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.16%EV -6.85%E -2.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.67%EV -14.90%E -6.26%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.16%EV -6.85%E -2.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 11:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -15.98%E -6.80%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.85%EV -6.85%E -2.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 11:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -15.98%E -6.80%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.85%EV -6.85%E -2.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 11:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-08-22 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-08-22 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-08-22 13:55
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-08-22 13:35
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 33.83%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-08-22 13:50