The School of Odds
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Colchester United v Oldham Athletic

2026-08-22 14:00 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colchester United (Local)

Prediction 39.23%2.55fair odd
EV -5.85%
Edge -2.44%
Kelly -4.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.66%39.62%39.32%41.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.342.352.4045.45%42.77%42.55%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oldham Athletic (Visit)

Prediction 33.58%2.98fair odd
EV +0.728%
Edge +0.243%
Kelly +0.364%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.91%33.16%33.50%34.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.772.753.0038.02%36.07%36.36%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.20%3.68fair odd
EV -4.27%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.68%27.21%27.18%27.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.393.403.5230.77%29.50%29.41%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Colchester United (Local): 39.23%; Oldham Athletic (Visit): 33.58%; Draw: 27.20%. For Oldham Athletic (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.98. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.00, producing a positive expected value of +0.728%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -11.74%E -5.22%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV +0.728%E +0.243%K +0.364%G +0.003%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.53%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 17:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -13.70%E -6.23%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -0.950%E -0.322%K -0.487%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.25%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 17:00
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -13.70%E -6.23%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -3.30%E -1.15%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.25%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 16:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.99%E -2.14%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.81%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 17:00
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.99%E -2.14%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.81%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 17:04
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.99%E -2.14%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.53%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 16:59
1xBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.33%EV -7.03%E -2.97%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -6.32%E -2.27%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -6.99%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 19:33
Marathon Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.44%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.46%EV -6.99%E -2.52%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -6.99%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 19:29
Pinnacle🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.29%EV -6.25%E -2.61%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.03%EV -7.33%E -2.66%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.68%EV -4.27%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 17:30
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.67%E -2.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.53%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 16:50
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.67%E -2.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.53%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 16:49
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.64%E -2.79%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -7.67%E -2.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.25%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 17:15
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.64%E -2.79%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -7.67%E -2.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.25%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 17:14
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -7.67%E -2.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.89%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 17:00
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -9.34%E -3.46%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -6.17%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 20:00
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.34%E -3.46%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -7.53%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 17:04
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.78%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.34%E -3.46%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -7.53%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 17:03
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -11.02%E -4.16%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.53%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 16:59
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -9.78%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -11.69%E -4.45%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -11.61%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 17:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 41.15%2.78I 35.97%NM 30.79%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.06%16.8%2026-08-15 17:00

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