Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Colchester United v Oldham Athletic

Início: 2026-08-22 14:01 UTC

Final: Colchester United 2–1 Oldham Athletic

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Colchester United (Local)

Previsão 35.76%2.80odd justa
EV -1.67%
Vantagem -0.608%
Kelly -0.956%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.39%35.64%35.78%37.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.562.602.7542.55%39.08%38.46%36.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Oldham Athletic (Visitante)

Previsão 36.53%2.74odd justa
EV -4.29%
Vantagem -1.64%
Kelly -2.65%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.83%36.57%36.53%38.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.542.552.6241.67%39.44%39.22%38.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.71%3.61odd justa
EV -3.00%
Vantagem -0.857%
Kelly -1.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.63%27.80%27.69%30.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.323.303.5033.33%30.10%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Colchester United (Local): 35.76%; Oldham Athletic (Visitante): 36.53%; Empate: 27.71%. Para Colchester United (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.80. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.75, com valor esperado de -1.67%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -1.67%E -0.608%K -0.956%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -10.50%E -4.29%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -3.00%E -0.857%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 13:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -1.67%E -0.608%K -0.956%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -6.85%E -2.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -16.86%E -5.62%K -8.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 13:00
Pinnacle🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.12%EV -2.75%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.03%EV -5.75%E -2.23%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.85%EV -4.94%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 13:40
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 13:35
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -12.33%E -5.14%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -3.00%E -0.857%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 13:35
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -10.50%E -4.29%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -12.33%E -5.14%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 13:50
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.88%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.57%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -4.39%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 11:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.85%E -2.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 22:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 13:35
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 13:35
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 13:35
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -12.33%E -5.14%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 13:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.51%EV -5.61%E -2.12%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.91%EV -7.21%E -2.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.51%EV -5.61%E -2.12%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.91%EV -7.21%E -2.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 13:55
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.28%EV -6.32%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.00%E -0.857%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 22:55
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -6.32%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -4.29%E -1.64%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 13:55
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -6.32%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 13:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.32%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 13:35
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.32%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 13:35
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.32%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.32%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.32%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 13:35
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.00%E -0.857%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 12:29
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.85%E -2.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 22:55
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.04%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 35.76%EV -7.39%E -2.85%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.18%EV -6.48%E -2.53%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 11:15
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -7.75%E -3.00%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -5.75%E -2.23%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -6.33%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 13:50
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.85%E -2.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-21 22:55
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.85%E -2.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 08:55
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.85%E -2.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 08:53
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.85%E -2.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.85%E -2.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-21 22:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 12:30
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.61%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.50%E -4.29%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 04:15
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.61%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 11:29
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.61%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 08:55
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -10.61%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -10.50%E -4.29%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-21 22:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -14.19%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 11:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -14.19%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 11:39
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -14.19%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 11:40
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -14.19%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 11:40
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -14.19%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 11:40
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -14.19%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 11:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -14.19%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 11:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -14.19%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 11:39
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -14.19%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 11:40
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.67%EV -14.90%E -6.26%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.16%EV -6.85%E -2.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.67%EV -14.90%E -6.26%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.16%EV -6.85%E -2.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 11:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -15.98%E -6.80%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.85%EV -6.85%E -2.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 11:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -15.98%E -6.80%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.85%EV -6.85%E -2.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 11:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-08-22 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-08-22 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-08-22 13:55
Matchbook◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-08-22 13:35
Smarkets◎2.90I 34.48%NM 33.83%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-08-22 13:50