Language:English
Colchester United v Cheltenham Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Colchester United (Local)
Prediction 48.89%2.05fair odd
EV -4.66%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -4.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.63%48.83%48.94%49.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.891.901.9554.95%53.04%52.63%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cheltenham Town (Visit)
Prediction 25.32%3.95fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -0.858%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.16%25.34%25.27%26.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.663.703.8228.57%27.29%27.03%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.79%3.88fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -0.530%
Kelly -0.719%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.46%25.83%25.79%26.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.563.553.8029.41%28.06%28.17%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colchester United (Local): 48.89%; Cheltenham Town (Visit): 25.32%; Draw: 25.79%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -2.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-14 14:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.30%E -0.881%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-18 14:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-14 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-16 09:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.89%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.05%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-15 07:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-18 14:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-18 14:13 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.80%EV -3.28%E -0.858%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-18 14:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -5.05%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -3.30%E -0.881%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-14 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -5.05%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -3.30%E -0.881%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-17 14:02 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.05%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-18 14:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.05%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-18 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.30%E -0.881%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.30%E -0.881%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 15:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.38%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-18 14:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 13:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 13:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 13:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 13:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -11.38%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-13 19:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -7.10%E -3.74%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.05%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 15:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -7.10%E -3.74%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.05%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 15:27 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -7.10%E -3.74%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.05%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 15:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -7.10%E -3.74%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -7.10%E -3.74%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.45%EV -7.59%E -4.02%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.79%E -0.996%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.45%EV -7.59%E -4.02%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.79%E -0.996%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 14:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.01%EV -7.59%E -4.02%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 24.83%EV -5.56%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.16%EV -8.72%E -2.46%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-18 13:53 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -7.59%E -4.02%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.38%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-18 14:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.08%E -4.30%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -7.58%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 14:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.08%E -4.30%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-14 14:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -8.08%E -4.30%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-18 14:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -8.57%E -4.58%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -2.01%E -0.530%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-18 14:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.24%EV -8.57%E -4.58%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 24.75%EV -5.81%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.01%EV -8.72%E -2.46%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.57%E -4.58%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 14:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.57%E -4.58%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 14:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -3.79%E -0.996%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 10:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.25%EV -10.03%E -5.45%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-14 14:06 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-14 14:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.38%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.19%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-14 14:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.38%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.19%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-14 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.38%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.19%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-14 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.38%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.19%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-14 14:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.38%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.19%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-14 14:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.38%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.19%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-14 14:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.38%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.19%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-14 14:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.38%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.19%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-14 14:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.22%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -7.58%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-14 14:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.38%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-15 20:36 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.35%EV -11.01%E -6.05%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -7.58%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-14 14:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.96% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.54% | 3.2% | 2026-09-18 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06% | 5.6% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06% | 5.6% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06% | 5.6% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.25% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12% | 6.9% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |