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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Novo modeloTodos os modelos

Colchester United v Cheltenham Town

Início: 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Final: Colchester United 1–1 Cheltenham Town

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Colchester United (Local)

Previsão 48.89%2.05odd justa
EV -4.66%
Vantagem -2.39%
Kelly -4.90%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.63%48.83%48.94%49.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.821.891.901.9554.95%53.04%52.63%51.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cheltenham Town (Visitante)

Previsão 25.32%3.95odd justa
EV -3.28%
Vantagem -0.858%
Kelly -1.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.16%25.34%25.27%26.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.663.703.8228.57%27.29%27.03%26.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.79%3.88odd justa
EV -2.01%
Vantagem -0.530%
Kelly -0.719%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.46%25.83%25.79%26.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.563.553.8029.41%28.06%28.17%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Colchester United (Local): 48.89%; Cheltenham Town (Visitante): 25.32%; Empate: 25.79%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.88. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.80, com valor esperado de -2.01%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 14:25
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 14:00
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.30%E -0.881%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 14:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 14:05
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-16 09:05
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.89%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.05%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 07:30
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 14:15
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 14:13
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.80%EV -3.28%E -0.858%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 14:15
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -5.05%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -3.30%E -0.881%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 14:25
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -5.05%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -3.30%E -0.881%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-17 14:02
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.05%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 14:54
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.05%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.30%E -0.881%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 14:45
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.30%E -0.881%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 15:29
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.38%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 14:44
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 13:24
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 13:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 13:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -11.38%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 19:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -7.10%E -3.74%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.05%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 15:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -7.10%E -3.74%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.05%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 15:27
BetUS🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -7.10%E -3.74%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.05%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 15:29
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -7.10%E -3.74%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -7.10%E -3.74%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 14:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.45%EV -7.59%E -4.02%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.79%E -0.996%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 14:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.45%EV -7.59%E -4.02%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.79%E -0.996%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 14:05
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.01%EV -7.59%E -4.02%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.83%EV -5.56%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.16%EV -8.72%E -2.46%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 13:53
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -7.59%E -4.02%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.38%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 14:54
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.08%E -4.30%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -7.58%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 14:49
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.08%E -4.30%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 14:30
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -8.08%E -4.30%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 14:15
Sky Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -8.57%E -4.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -2.01%E -0.530%K -0.719%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 14:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.24%EV -8.57%E -4.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.75%EV -5.81%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.01%EV -8.72%E -2.46%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 13:50
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.57%E -4.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 14:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.57%E -4.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 14:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -3.79%E -0.996%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 10:40
Unibet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.25%EV -10.03%E -5.45%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-14 14:06
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 14:25
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.38%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.19%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 14:05
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.38%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.19%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 14:05
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.38%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.19%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 14:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.38%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.19%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 14:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.38%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.19%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 14:05
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.38%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.19%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 14:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.38%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.19%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 14:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.38%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.19%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 14:05
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.22%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -7.58%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-14 14:05
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.38%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-15 20:36
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.35%EV -11.01%E -6.05%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -7.58%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-14 14:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 47.96%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.54%3.2%2026-09-18 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%5.6%2026-09-18 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%5.6%2026-09-18 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%5.6%2026-09-18 15:25
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 47.25%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%6.9%2026-09-18 15:30