Language:English
Colchester United v Barnet
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Colchester United (Local)
Prediction 34.17%2.93fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -0.915%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.15%34.27%34.18%36.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.652.672.8540.32%37.76%37.45%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Barnet (Visit)
Prediction 36.61%2.73fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.37%36.62%36.54%38.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.542.542.6541.67%39.31%39.29%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.22%3.42fair odd
EV -0.650%
Edge -0.191%
Kelly -0.271%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.67%29.11%29.27%30.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.183.203.4033.33%31.45%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colchester United (Local): 34.17%; Barnet (Visit): 36.61%; Draw: 29.22%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.42. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -0.650%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.60%EV -2.61%E -0.915%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.84%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.56%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.60%EV -2.61%E -0.915%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.84%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.56%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -0.650%E -0.191%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.59%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.03%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.38%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -2.11%E -0.630%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 14:58 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:56 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -2.11%E -0.630%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -2.11%E -0.630%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.16%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.85%EV -7.02%E -2.76%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.98%EV -5.62%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.27%EV -7.05%E -2.59%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.13%EV -5.55%E -2.15%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.47%EV -8.08%E -3.00%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.16%EV -7.08%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -10.88%E -3.57%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.62%EV -11.41%E -4.72%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -10.88%E -3.57%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -10.47%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -10.47%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -10.47%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -10.47%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 14:57 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -15.25%E -6.15%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.65%EV -15.25%E -6.15%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.65%EV -15.25%E -6.15%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.53% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.78% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69% | 0.5% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.69% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.01% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.52% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 1.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.99% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.46% | 2.9% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.47% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.28% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.25% | 3.6% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |