L’École des cotes

Colchester United v Barnet

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 15:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Colchester United (Local)

Prévision 34.17%2.93cote équitable
EV -2.61%
Avantage -0.915%
Kelly -1.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.15%34.27%34.18%36.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.482.652.672.8540.32%37.76%37.45%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Barnet (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.61%2.73cote équitable
EV -2.99%
Avantage -1.13%
Kelly -1.81%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.37%36.62%36.54%38.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.542.542.6541.67%39.31%39.29%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.22%3.42cote équitable
EV -0.650%
Avantage -0.191%
Kelly -0.271%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.67%29.11%29.27%30.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.183.203.4033.33%31.45%31.25%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.60%EV -2.61%E -0.915%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.84%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.56%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 14:59
BetOnline.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.60%EV -2.61%E -0.915%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.84%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.56%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -0.650%E -0.191%K -0.271%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 15:00
Pinnacle2.76I 36.23%NM 34.59%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.03%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.38%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 14:59
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -2.11%E -0.630%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:00
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 14:58
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:56
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:59
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -2.11%E -0.630%K -0.898%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:59
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -2.11%E -0.630%K -0.898%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:59
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:59
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 15:00
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 15:00
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 15:00
1xBet2.74I 36.50%NM 34.16%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.85%EV -7.02%E -2.76%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.98%EV -5.62%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:59
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.27%EV -7.05%E -2.59%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.13%EV -5.55%E -2.15%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:59
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:59
Bovada2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:59
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:59
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 14:59
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 14:59
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 14:59
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 15:00
Marathon Bet2.69I 37.17%NM 34.47%EV -8.08%E -3.00%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.16%EV -7.08%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 14:59
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 14:59
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -10.88%E -3.57%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 14:59
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.62%EV -11.41%E -4.72%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 15:00
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 14:59
Betsson2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -10.88%E -3.57%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 15:00
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -10.47%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 15:00
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -10.47%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 15:00
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -10.47%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 15:00
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -10.47%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 14:59
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 14:59
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-21 15:00
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 15:00
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 15:00
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 15:00
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 14:57
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 15:00
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 15:00
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 15:00
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 15:00
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 15:00
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 15:00
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -15.25%E -6.15%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 15:00
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.65%EV -15.25%E -6.15%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 15:00
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 36.65%EV -15.25%E -6.15%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 15:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.53%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.78%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69%0.5%2026-02-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.69%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-02-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.01%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.52%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-02-21 15:00
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 33.99%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.46%2.9%2026-02-21 15:00
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 34.47%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.28%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.25%3.6%2026-02-21 15:00