默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Colchester United v Accrington Stanley

开赛时间: 2026-04-14 18:45 UTC

最终结果: Colchester United 2–1 Accrington Stanley

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

50 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Colchester United (主队)

预测 58.25%1.72公平赔率
EV -3.88%
优势 -2.35%
Kelly -5.98%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.65

博彩公司预测分布
56.20%58.22%58.09%59.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.551.601.611.6564.52%62.39%62.11%60.61%最小值均值中位数最大值

Accrington Stanley (客队)

预测 17.25%5.80公平赔率
EV -0.312%
优势 -0.054%
Kelly -0.065%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.78

博彩公司预测分布
16.19%17.23%17.26%18.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.905.225.255.7820.41%19.16%19.05%17.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.50%4.08公平赔率
EV -2.73%
优势 -0.688%
Kelly -0.919%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.97

博彩公司预测分布
23.97%24.56%24.64%25.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.733.733.9727.78%26.81%26.85%25.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Colchester United (主队):58.25%;Accrington Stanley (客队):17.25%;平局:24.50%。 对于“Accrington Stanley (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.80。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为5.78,期望值为-0.312%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (50 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.56%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -4.45%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -4.47%E -2.72%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -10.32%E -1.98%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 18:20
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -4.47%E -2.72%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -10.32%E -1.98%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 18:20
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.20%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -15.49%E -3.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 02:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.20%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -15.49%E -3.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 02:19
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.20%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -15.49%E -3.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 02:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.20%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -15.49%E -3.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 02:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.20%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -15.49%E -3.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 02:20
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.20%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -15.49%E -3.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 02:19
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.20%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -15.49%E -3.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 02:19
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.20%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -15.49%E -3.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 02:19
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.20%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -15.49%E -3.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 02:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.20%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -15.49%E -3.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 02:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.20%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -15.49%E -3.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 02:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.63%E -3.48%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -5.14%E -0.935%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 18:29
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.63%E -3.48%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -5.14%E -0.935%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 18:30
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.63%E -3.48%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -5.14%E -0.935%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 18:30
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -5.63%E -3.48%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 18:20
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -5.63%E -3.48%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 18:19
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -5.63%E -3.48%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-14 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.81%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -5.14%E -0.935%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -3.22%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.02%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 18:20
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 18:20
LeoVegas🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -15.49%E -3.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 02:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -15.49%E -3.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 02:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -15.49%E -3.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 02:19
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.53%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.33%G +0.000%5.78I 17.30%NM 16.48%EV -0.312%E -0.054%K -0.065%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.99%EV -2.73%E -0.688%K -0.919%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 18:30
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.85%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -6.87%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -9.35%E -2.53%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:20
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.85%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -6.87%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -9.35%E -2.53%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:20
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 18:20
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.72%EV -7.38%E -4.64%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.35%E -2.53%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 18:30
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.93%EV -7.96%E -5.04%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.62I 17.79%NM 16.57%EV -3.07%E -0.547%K -0.665%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -7.96%E -5.04%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -6.87%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -5.67%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -7.96%E -5.04%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -6.87%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -5.67%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:20
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -8.54%E -5.44%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -0.829%E -0.144%K -0.175%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -4.45%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 18:29
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -8.54%E -5.44%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -5.14%E -0.935%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 18:19
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.54%E -5.44%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.20%EV -7.73%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 18:29
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -8.54%E -5.44%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-14 18:18
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.54%E -5.44%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -10.32%E -1.98%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 18:29
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -8.54%E -5.44%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-14 18:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.93%EV -8.54%E -5.44%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -10.32%E -1.98%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.35%E -2.53%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-14 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -9.13%E -5.85%K -16.30%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.25%EV -1.69%E -0.297%K -0.360%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -9.71%E -6.26%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -1.69%E -0.297%K -0.360%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-14 18:20
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -9.71%E -6.26%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -5.14%E -0.935%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 18:19
Everygame🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -9.71%E -6.26%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -5.14%E -0.935%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-14 18:19
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -9.71%E -6.26%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.22%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.35%E -2.53%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-14 18:20
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -9.71%E -6.26%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-14 18:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-04-14 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-04-14 18:20
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-04-14 18:20
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.30%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44%2.3%2026-04-14 18:30