L’École des cotes

Colchester United v Accrington Stanley

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-14 18:45 UTC

Score final : Colchester United 2–1 Accrington Stanley

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Colchester United (Local)

Prévision 58.25%1.72cote équitable
EV -3.88%
Avantage -2.35%
Kelly -5.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.20%58.22%58.09%59.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.601.611.6564.52%62.39%62.11%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Accrington Stanley (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.25%5.80cote équitable
EV -0.312%
Avantage -0.054%
Kelly -0.065%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.19%17.23%17.26%18.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.905.225.255.7820.41%19.16%19.05%17.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.50%4.08cote équitable
EV -2.73%
Avantage -0.688%
Kelly -0.919%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.97%24.56%24.64%25.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.733.733.9727.78%26.81%26.85%25.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.56%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -4.45%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -4.47%E -2.72%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -10.32%E -1.98%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 18:20
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -4.47%E -2.72%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -10.32%E -1.98%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 18:20
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.20%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -15.49%E -3.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 02:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.20%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -15.49%E -3.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 02:19
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 56.20%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -15.49%E -3.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 02:19
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.20%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -15.49%E -3.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 02:19
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.20%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -15.49%E -3.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 02:20
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 56.20%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -15.49%E -3.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 02:19
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 56.20%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -15.49%E -3.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 02:19
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 56.20%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -15.49%E -3.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 02:19
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 56.20%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -15.49%E -3.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 02:19
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.20%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -15.49%E -3.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 02:20
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 56.20%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -15.49%E -3.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 02:19
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.63%E -3.48%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -5.14%E -0.935%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 18:29
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.63%E -3.48%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -5.14%E -0.935%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 18:30
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.63%E -3.48%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -5.14%E -0.935%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 18:30
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -5.63%E -3.48%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 18:20
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -5.63%E -3.48%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 18:19
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -5.63%E -3.48%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-14 18:30
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.81%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -5.14%E -0.935%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -3.22%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 18:20
PointsBet (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.02%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 18:20
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 18:20
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 18:20
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -15.49%E -3.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 02:19
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -15.49%E -3.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 02:19
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -15.49%E -3.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 02:19
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 59.53%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.33%G +0.000%5.78I 17.30%NM 16.48%EV -0.312%E -0.054%K -0.065%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.99%EV -2.73%E -0.688%K -0.919%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 18:30
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 57.85%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -6.87%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -9.35%E -2.53%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:20
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.85%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -6.87%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -9.35%E -2.53%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:20
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 18:20
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 57.72%EV -7.38%E -4.64%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.35%E -2.53%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 18:30
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.93%EV -7.96%E -5.04%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.62I 17.79%NM 16.57%EV -3.07%E -0.547%K -0.665%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 18:30
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -7.96%E -5.04%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -6.87%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -5.67%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:19
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -7.96%E -5.04%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -6.87%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -5.67%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:20
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -8.54%E -5.44%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -0.829%E -0.144%K -0.175%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -4.45%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 18:29
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -8.54%E -5.44%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -5.14%E -0.935%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 18:19
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.54%E -5.44%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.20%EV -7.73%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 18:29
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -8.54%E -5.44%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-14 18:18
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.54%E -5.44%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -10.32%E -1.98%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 18:29
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -8.54%E -5.44%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-14 18:20
Codere (IT)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.93%EV -8.54%E -5.44%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -10.32%E -1.98%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.35%E -2.53%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-14 18:30
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -9.13%E -5.85%K -16.30%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.25%EV -1.69%E -0.297%K -0.360%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:30
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -9.71%E -6.26%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -1.69%E -0.297%K -0.360%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-14 18:20
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -9.71%E -6.26%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -5.14%E -0.935%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 18:19
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -9.71%E -6.26%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -5.14%E -0.935%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-14 18:19
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -9.71%E -6.26%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.22%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.35%E -2.53%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-14 18:20
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -9.71%E -6.26%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-14 18:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-04-14 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-04-14 18:20
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-04-14 18:20
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.30%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44%2.3%2026-04-14 18:30