Language:English
Chesterfield FC v Colchester United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chesterfield FC (Local)
Prediction 40.68%2.46fair odd
EV -3.17%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -2.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.34%40.68%40.87%43.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.242.3847.62%44.70%44.64%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Colchester United (Visit)
Prediction 30.85%3.24fair odd
EV -0.031%
Edge -0.010%
Kelly -0.014%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.28%30.91%30.52%32.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.973.003.2436.36%33.63%33.33%30.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.46%3.51fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -0.951%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.44%28.40%28.61%29.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.203.203.4033.33%31.22%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chesterfield FC (Local): 40.68%; Colchester United (Visit): 30.85%; Draw: 28.46%. For Colchester United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.241. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.240, with an expected value of -0.031%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -3.17%E -1.33%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-03 19:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -12.06%E -4.23%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -3.23%E -0.951%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -6.02%E -2.61%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.60%EV -0.031%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.89%EV -5.51%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -6.02%E -2.61%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.60%EV -0.031%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.89%EV -5.51%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.50%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.83%EV -1.27%E -0.395%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.67%EV -5.23%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 19:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.17%EV -7.65%E -3.37%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.85%EV -6.51%E -2.15%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.98%EV -4.94%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 19:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -4.66%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-03 19:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -5.89%E -1.93%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -3.23%E -0.951%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-03 19:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.23%E -0.951%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 19:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-03 19:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-03 19:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -11.14%E -3.87%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.49%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -15.15%E -5.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.49%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -15.15%E -5.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -9.27%E -4.16%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -9.27%E -4.16%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -9.27%E -4.16%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-03 19:41 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -9.27%E -4.16%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -9.27%E -4.16%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -9.27%E -4.16%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -9.27%E -4.16%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -9.27%E -4.16%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.77%EV -9.27%E -4.16%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -8.98%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 40.90%EV -10.09%E -4.56%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.85%EV -9.60%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -10.49%E -4.77%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 19:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -10.49%E -4.77%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 19:43 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.49%E -4.77%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.49%E -4.77%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.49%E -4.77%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -10.49%E -4.77%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -8.98%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.73%EV -10.49%E -4.77%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -8.98%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.49%E -4.77%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.11%EV -12.06%E -4.23%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.49%E -4.77%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -14.62%E -4.87%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.92%EV -11.31%E -5.19%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.76%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.85%EV -11.71%E -5.40%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -12.53%E -5.83%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -11.14%E -3.87%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.15% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.61% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.24% | 2.1% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.15% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.61% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.24% | 2.1% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.12% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.80% | 2.1% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.95% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.95% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.10% | 2.6% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.17% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.38% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.46% | 2.9% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |