La escuela de los momios

Chesterfield FC v Colchester United

Inicio: 2026-03-03 19:47 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chesterfield FC (Local)

Predicción 40.68%2.46momio equitativo
EV -3.17%
Ventaja -1.33%
Kelly -2.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.34%40.68%40.87%43.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.242.242.3847.62%44.70%44.64%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Colchester United (Visitante)

Predicción 30.85%3.24momio equitativo
EV -0.031%
Ventaja -0.010%
Kelly -0.014%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.24

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.28%30.91%30.52%32.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.973.003.2436.36%33.63%33.33%30.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.46%3.51momio equitativo
EV -3.23%
Ventaja -0.951%
Kelly -1.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.44%28.40%28.61%29.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.203.203.4033.33%31.22%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -3.17%E -1.33%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-03 19:44
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -12.06%E -4.23%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -3.23%E -0.951%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 19:45
LowVig.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -6.02%E -2.61%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.60%EV -0.031%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.89%EV -5.51%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 19:45
BetOnline.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -6.02%E -2.61%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.60%EV -0.031%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.89%EV -5.51%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 19:45
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 41.50%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.83%EV -1.27%E -0.395%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.67%EV -5.23%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 19:44
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 19:45
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.17%EV -7.65%E -3.37%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.85%EV -6.51%E -2.15%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.98%EV -4.94%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 19:44
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -4.66%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-03 19:44
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -5.89%E -1.93%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -3.23%E -0.951%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-03 19:44
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.23%E -0.951%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 19:44
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-03 19:44
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-03 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-03 19:45
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-03 19:45
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-03 19:44
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -11.14%E -3.87%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-03 19:45
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-03 19:45
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-03 19:45
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-03 19:45
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-03 19:45
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-03 19:45
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 39.49%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -15.15%E -5.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-03 19:45
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.49%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -15.15%E -5.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-03 19:45
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -9.27%E -4.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-03 19:45
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -9.27%E -4.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-03 19:45
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -9.27%E -4.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-03 19:41
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -9.27%E -4.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-03 19:45
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -9.27%E -4.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-03 19:45
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -9.27%E -4.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-03 19:45
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -9.27%E -4.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-03 19:45
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -9.27%E -4.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-03 19:45
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.77%EV -9.27%E -4.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -8.98%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-03 19:45
Bovada2.21I 45.25%NM 40.90%EV -10.09%E -4.56%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.85%EV -9.60%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-03 19:45
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -10.49%E -4.77%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 19:44
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -10.49%E -4.77%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-03 19:43
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.49%E -4.77%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-03 19:45
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.49%E -4.77%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-03 19:45
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.49%E -4.77%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-03 19:45
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -10.49%E -4.77%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -8.98%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-03 19:45
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.73%EV -10.49%E -4.77%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -8.98%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-03 19:45
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.49%E -4.77%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.11%EV -12.06%E -4.23%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-03 19:45
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.49%E -4.77%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -14.62%E -4.87%K -7.31%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-03 19:45
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 40.92%EV -11.31%E -5.19%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.76%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-03 19:45
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 40.85%EV -11.71%E -5.40%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-03 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -12.53%E -5.83%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -11.14%E -3.87%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-03 19:45
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-03 19:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.15%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.61%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.24%2.1%2026-03-03 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.15%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.61%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.24%2.1%2026-03-03 19:45
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.12%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.80%2.1%2026-03-03 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 39.95%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.95%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.10%2.6%2026-03-03 19:45
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.17%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.38%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.46%2.9%2026-03-03 19:45