Language:English
Cheltenham Town v York City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cheltenham Town (Local)
Prediction 26.75%3.74fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.280%
Kelly -0.384%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.97%26.72%26.80%28.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.513.503.7031.25%28.53%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
York City (Visit)
Prediction 46.92%2.13fair odd
EV -3.81%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -3.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.95%47.00%46.90%48.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.951.982.0554.64%51.25%50.51%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.33%3.80fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.477%
Kelly -0.651%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.18%26.28%26.30%27.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.483.453.7329.85%28.73%28.99%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cheltenham Town (Local): 26.75%; York City (Visit): 46.92%; Draw: 26.33%. For Cheltenham Town (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -1.04%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -1.04%E -0.280%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 14:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 14:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -7.10%E -3.58%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-01 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -7.10%E -3.58%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -7.10%E -3.58%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -10.85%E -5.71%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.51%EV -12.26%E -6.56%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 11:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.51%EV -12.26%E -6.56%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 11:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.51%EV -12.26%E -6.56%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 11:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.51%EV -12.26%E -6.56%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 11:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.51%EV -12.26%E -6.56%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 11:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.51%EV -12.26%E -6.56%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 11:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.51%EV -12.26%E -6.56%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 11:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.51%EV -12.26%E -6.56%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 11:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.51%EV -12.26%E -6.56%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 11:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.59%EV -13.20%E -7.13%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-01 11:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -7.10%E -3.58%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -6.52%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.10%E -3.58%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.10%E -3.58%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.42%EV -13.20%E -7.13%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-01 11:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.00%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.50%EV -14.14%E -7.72%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-01 11:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.00%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.50%EV -14.14%E -7.72%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-01 11:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.81%E -1.86%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.81%E -1.86%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 18:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -7.10%E -3.58%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-01 14:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -10.38%E -5.44%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-01 14:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -10.38%E -5.44%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-01 18:33 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -6.92%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.13%EV -5.22%E -2.58%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.52%EV -1.78%E -0.477%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -7.72%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 18:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -7.72%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -8.97%E -4.63%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-01 14:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -7.99%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.58%EV -6.63%E -3.33%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 18:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -2.57%E -0.694%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-01 18:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-01 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-01 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-01 18:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -7.10%E -3.58%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 18:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.51%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-01 14:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%EV -8.04%E -4.10%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -8.51%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -12.26%E -6.56%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-01 14:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.19%EV -7.10%E -3.58%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -14.41%E -4.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.51%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.00% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 1.3% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.94% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.83% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23% | 1.7% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.94% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.83% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23% | 1.7% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46% | 2.1% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |