The School of Odds
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Cheltenham Town v York City

2026-09-01 18:45 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cheltenham Town (Local)

Prediction 26.39%3.79fair odd
EV +3.18%
Edge +0.813%
Kelly +1.09%
Growth +0.035%

assuming max odds 3.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.95%26.34%26.40%28.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.493.453.9130.77%28.68%28.99%25.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

York City (Visit)

Prediction 46.91%2.13fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.83%47.00%46.83%49.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.971.982.0854.64%50.82%50.51%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.71%3.74fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.321%
Kelly -0.439%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.59%26.66%26.77%27.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.483.483.7030.30%28.77%28.74%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cheltenham Town (Local): 26.39%; York City (Visit): 46.91%; Draw: 26.71%. For Cheltenham Town (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.79. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.91, producing a positive expected value of +3.18%.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.91I 25.58%NM 23.95%EV +3.18%E +0.813%K +1.09%G +0.035%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.81%EV -11.82%E -6.29%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.23%EV -4.66%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 19:10
1xBet🎯3.77I 26.53%NM 24.71%EV -0.516%E -0.137%K -0.186%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.52%EV -9.94%E -5.18%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.77%EV -7.06%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 19:05
Marathon Bet🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 24.63%EV -0.780%E -0.207%K -0.283%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.75%EV -10.88%E -5.73%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.62%EV -7.06%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 18:59
William Hill🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -1.04%E -0.278%K -0.379%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -8.54%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 19:00
888sport🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -2.36%E -0.639%K -0.875%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -8.54%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 18:59
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.41%E -5.45%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -3.86%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 19:00
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -10.41%E -5.45%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.20%E -2.71%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 19:05
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -12.29%E -6.57%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.20%E -2.71%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 19:00
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -14.16%E -7.74%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -6.53%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 19:00
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.84%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.86%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -1.19%E -0.321%K -0.439%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.86%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 18:45
Coolbet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.86%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 18:45
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.54%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -3.86%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 18:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.20%E -2.71%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 18:45
Bet Right🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 18:45
SportsBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.62%EV -8.07%E -4.12%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -6.53%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 18:44
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -12.92%E -3.91%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -2.44%E -1.17%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.53%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 19:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -12.92%E -3.91%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -3.84%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.20%E -2.71%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 18:59
betano_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.92%E -3.91%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.20%E -2.71%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 18:59
Bet Victor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.92%E -3.91%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.20%E -2.71%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 19:00
Sky Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.92%E -3.91%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.54%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.53%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 18:50
LeoVegas🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -14.24%E -4.38%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.20%E -2.71%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 19:05
Codere (IT)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -14.24%E -4.38%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 44.83%EV -4.78%E -2.36%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 19:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%1.95I 51.28%NM 43.88%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%16.9%2026-08-29 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 15.66%1.04I 96.15%NM 42.17%1.04I 96.15%NM 42.17%128.0%2026-08-29 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 15.66%1.04I 96.15%NM 42.17%1.04I 96.15%NM 42.17%128.0%2026-08-29 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 15.47%1.04I 96.15%NM 41.65%1.01I 99.01%NM 42.88%130.9%2026-08-29 19:05