默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cheltenham Town v York City

开赛时间: 2026-09-01 18:45 UTC

最终结果: Cheltenham Town 3–2 York City

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

52 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cheltenham Town (主队)

预测 26.75%3.74公平赔率
EV -1.04%
优势 -0.280%
Kelly -0.384%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.70

博彩公司预测分布
24.97%26.72%26.80%28.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.513.503.7031.25%28.53%28.57%27.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

York City (客队)

预测 46.92%2.13公平赔率
EV -3.81%
优势 -1.86%
Kelly -3.63%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.05

博彩公司预测分布
45.95%47.00%46.90%48.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.951.982.0554.64%51.25%50.51%48.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.33%3.80公平赔率
EV -1.78%
优势 -0.477%
Kelly -0.651%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.73

博彩公司预测分布
25.18%26.28%26.30%27.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.353.483.453.7329.85%28.73%28.99%26.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Cheltenham Town (主队):26.75%;York City (客队):46.92%;平局:26.33%。 对于“Cheltenham Town (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.74。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.70,期望值为-1.04%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -1.04%E -0.280%K -0.384%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 18:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 14:04
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 14:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 18:20
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -7.10%E -3.58%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -7.10%E -3.58%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 18:20
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -7.10%E -3.58%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -10.85%E -5.71%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 18:05
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.51%EV -12.26%E -6.56%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 11:35
Unibet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.51%EV -12.26%E -6.56%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 11:39
Unibet (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.51%EV -12.26%E -6.56%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 11:35
Casumo🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.51%EV -12.26%E -6.56%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 11:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.51%EV -12.26%E -6.56%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 11:35
betPARX🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.51%EV -12.26%E -6.56%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 11:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.51%EV -12.26%E -6.56%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 11:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.51%EV -12.26%E -6.56%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 11:40
TABtouch🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.51%EV -12.26%E -6.56%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 11:35
Grosvenor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.59%EV -13.20%E -7.13%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-01 11:35
1xBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -7.10%E -3.58%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -6.52%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 18:30
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.10%E -3.58%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 18:25
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.10%E -3.58%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.42%EV -13.20%E -7.13%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-01 11:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.00%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.50%EV -14.14%E -7.72%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-01 11:35
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.00%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.50%EV -14.14%E -7.72%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-01 11:40
betano_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.81%E -1.86%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 18:35
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.81%E -1.86%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 18:34
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -7.10%E -3.58%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 14:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 18:25
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 18:30
BetUS🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 18:20
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -10.38%E -5.44%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-01 14:15
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -10.38%E -5.44%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-01 18:33
Pinnacle🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -6.92%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.13%EV -5.22%E -2.58%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.52%EV -1.78%E -0.477%K -0.651%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 18:30
DraftKings🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -7.72%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 18:15
Bet Right🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -7.72%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -8.97%E -4.63%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 14:04
Marathon Bet🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -7.99%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.58%EV -6.63%E -3.33%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 18:19
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -2.57%E -0.694%K -0.951%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 18:30
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 18:15
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 18:15
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 18:15
SportsBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -7.10%E -3.58%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 18:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.51%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 14:04
Codere (IT)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%EV -8.04%E -4.10%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 18:30
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -8.51%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 18:25
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -12.26%E -6.56%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-01 14:04
LeoVegas🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.19%EV -7.10%E -3.58%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 18:25
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 18:20
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -14.41%E -4.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.51%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 18:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%0.9%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.00%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-09-01 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 26.94%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.83%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%1.7%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 26.94%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.83%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%1.7%2026-09-01 18:40
Smarkets◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.1%2026-09-01 18:40