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Cheltenham Town v Salford City

2026-10-10 14:00 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cheltenham Town (Local)

Prediction 25.82%3.87fair odd
EV +3.27%
Edge +0.818%
Kelly +1.09%
Growth +0.036%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.26%25.54%25.96%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.633.624.0030.77%27.56%27.66%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Salford City (Visit)

Prediction 49.43%2.02fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -3.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.87%49.62%49.34%52.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.851.851.9657.47%54.02%54.05%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.75%4.04fair odd
EV -0.002%
Edge -0.001%
Kelly -0.001%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.63%24.84%24.69%25.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.733.754.0428.57%26.81%26.67%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cheltenham Town (Local): 25.82%; Salford City (Visit): 49.43%; Draw: 24.75%. For Cheltenham Town (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.87. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.00, producing a positive expected value of +3.27%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV +3.27%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.036%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.26%EV -12.01%E -6.75%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.94%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-03 15:30
LeoVegas🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -0.601%E -0.156%K -0.211%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -9.54%E -5.21%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.18%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-03 17:19
Codere (IT)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -0.601%E -0.156%K -0.211%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -13.99%E -8.04%K -18.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -7.18%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-03 15:30
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -3.18%E -0.849%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.67%EV -6.08%E -3.20%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -7.18%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-03 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -3.18%E -0.849%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -7.07%E -3.76%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.94%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-03 19:35
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.18%E -0.849%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.07%EV -7.57%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.18%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 19:30
SportsBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -10.04%E -5.51%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-03 19:35
Paddy Power🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -11.03%E -6.13%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-03 19:30
Bovada🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -5.76%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -10.04%E -5.51%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.94%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-03 17:20
Bet Right🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -5.76%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.80%EV -9.05%E -4.92%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-03 19:30
1xBet🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 26.66%EV -7.57%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.71%EV -5.09%E -2.65%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.63%EV -0.002%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-03 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 25.85%EV -8.09%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -7.07%E -3.76%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-03 16:49
Pinnacle🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.12%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.12%E -1.59%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.54%EV -9.16%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-03 17:00
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -7.57%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -5.94%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-03 16:54
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -8.55%E -4.62%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.18%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-03 16:49
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -8.55%E -4.62%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.18%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-03 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -8.55%E -4.62%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.18%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-03 17:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -8.55%E -4.62%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.18%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-03 17:15
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -11.03%E -6.13%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -13.37%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-03 19:40
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -16.09%E -4.95%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -5.59%E -2.93%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.37%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 16:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%1.68I 59.52%NM 51.19%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.93%16.3%2026-10-03 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 26.95%1.12I 89.29%NM 45.96%1.90I 52.63%NM 27.09%94.3%2026-10-03 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 28.14%1.12I 89.29%NM 43.72%1.74I 57.47%NM 28.14%104.2%2026-10-03 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 27.69%1.08I 92.59%NM 44.62%1.74I 57.47%NM 27.69%107.5%2026-10-03 16:25