Language:English
Cheltenham Town v Salford City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cheltenham Town (Local)
Prediction 24.52%4.08fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.484%
Kelly -0.646%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.74%24.54%24.60%27.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.693.754.0029.85%27.07%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Salford City (Visit)
Prediction 50.65%1.97fair odd
EV -0.229%
Edge -0.116%
Kelly -0.236%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.09%50.61%50.61%52.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.841.831.9757.47%54.28%54.64%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.84%4.03fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -0.542%
Kelly -0.726%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.85%24.84%24.79%26.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.663.703.9428.99%27.33%27.03%25.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cheltenham Town (Local): 24.52%; Salford City (Visit): 50.65%; Draw: 24.84%. For Salford City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.975. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.970, with an expected value of -0.229%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -1.94%E -0.484%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -7.83%E -4.30%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-04 08:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.94%E -0.484%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -7.32%E -4.00%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-04 08:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -1.94%E -0.484%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -8.84%E -4.91%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -1.94%E -0.484%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -8.84%E -4.91%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -1.94%E -0.484%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -8.84%E -4.91%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-04 08:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -1.94%E -0.484%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.92%EV -9.85%E -5.53%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-04 08:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -1.94%E -0.484%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -11.37%E -6.50%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-05 07:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -3.16%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -7.83%E -4.30%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-04 08:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -3.16%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -7.83%E -4.30%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-04 08:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.39%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-05 07:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.39%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.39%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.39%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-05 07:31 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -4.39%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -10.36%E -5.85%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -4.39%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.18%EV -11.88%E -6.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-04 11:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -5.62%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -9.85%E -5.53%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-04 08:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -6.84%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -4.79%E -2.55%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -6.84%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.84%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.84%E -4.91%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-05 04:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.84%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.84%E -4.91%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-05 04:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.79I 26.39%NM 24.80%EV -7.09%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.35%EV -7.32%E -4.00%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.85%EV -2.13%E -0.542%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 08:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.63%EV -7.82%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -7.32%E -4.00%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.76%EV -7.10%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 10:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -8.07%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -4.79%E -2.55%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -9.34%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 07:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.07%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.58%EV -7.83%E -4.30%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-05 10:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.07%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.58%EV -7.83%E -4.30%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-05 10:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.07%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.85%EV -8.33%E -4.60%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.61%EV -7.10%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-04 08:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -8.07%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -11.37%E -6.50%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.06%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-04 09:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -9.29%E -2.51%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.93%EV -10.36%E -5.85%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -9.34%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -10.52%E -2.88%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -7.32%E -4.00%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-04 08:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -10.52%E -2.88%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.45%EV -6.81%E -3.70%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -11.82%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-05 07:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.74%E -3.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -7.32%E -4.00%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-04 08:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.74%E -3.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.84%E -4.91%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-04 08:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.74%E -3.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.84%E -4.91%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-04 08:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.74%E -3.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.84%E -4.91%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-04 08:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.74%E -3.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.84%E -4.91%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-04 08:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -14.20%E -4.06%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -0.229%E -0.116%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -14.20%E -4.06%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -0.229%E -0.116%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -14.20%E -4.06%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -8.84%E -4.91%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-04 08:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -17.87%E -5.34%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.13%EV -2.76%E -1.44%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -13.06%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -17.87%E -5.34%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.13%EV -2.76%E -1.44%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -13.06%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -17.87%E -5.34%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.13%EV -2.76%E -1.44%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -13.06%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -17.87%E -5.34%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.13%EV -2.76%E -1.44%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -13.06%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -17.87%E -5.34%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.13%EV -2.76%E -1.44%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -13.06%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-05 14:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -17.87%E -5.34%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.13%EV -2.76%E -1.44%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -13.06%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-05 14:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -17.87%E -5.34%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.13%EV -2.76%E -1.44%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -13.06%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -17.87%E -5.34%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.13%EV -2.76%E -1.44%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -13.06%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -17.87%E -5.34%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.13%EV -2.76%E -1.44%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -13.06%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -17.87%E -5.34%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -3.27%E -1.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -14.31%E -4.15%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -17.87%E -5.34%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.35%EV -4.28%E -2.26%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -14.31%E -4.15%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.94% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33% | 6.7% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |