Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cheltenham Town v Salford City

2026-10-10 14:00 UTC — League 2

Testa a testa

24 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cheltenham Town (Casa)

Previsione 26.09%3.83quota equa
EV +4.35%
Vantaggio +1.09%
Kelly +1.45%
Crescita +0.063%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.26%25.78%26.13%27.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.613.574.0030.77%27.71%28.01%25.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Salford City (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.90%2.04quota equa
EV -4.16%
Vantaggio -2.12%
Kelly -4.33%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.96

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.87%49.23%48.91%52.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.741.861.851.9657.47%53.81%54.05%51.02%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.01%4.00quota equa
EV +1.05%
Vantaggio +0.259%
Kelly +0.344%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.04

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.63%24.99%24.97%25.71%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.723.754.0428.57%26.90%26.67%24.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Cheltenham Town (Casa): 26.09%; Salford City (Trasferta): 48.90%; Pareggio: 25.01%. Per Cheltenham Town (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.83. 3 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 4.00, con un valore atteso positivo del +4.35%.

Quote dei bookmaker (24 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV +4.35%E +1.09%K +1.45%G +0.063%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.26%EV -12.96%E -7.28%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -4.96%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-03 15:30
LeoVegas🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV +1.75%E +0.448%K +0.602%G +0.011%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -11.98%E -6.66%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-03 20:04
Codere (IT)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV +0.441%E +0.115%K +0.155%G +0.001%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -14.91%E -8.57%K -20.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-03 15:30
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -2.17%E -0.578%K -0.788%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.67%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-03 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -2.17%E -0.578%K -0.788%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -8.07%E -4.29%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.96%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-03 19:35
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -2.17%E -0.578%K -0.788%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.07%EV -8.56%E -4.58%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 19:30
SportsBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -3.47%E -0.938%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -11.00%E -6.05%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-03 19:35
Paddy Power🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -3.47%E -0.938%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -11.98%E -6.66%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-03 19:30
Bovada🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -4.78%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -11.00%E -6.05%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -4.96%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-03 17:20
BetUS🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -4.78%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -11.00%E -6.05%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -4.96%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-03 20:10
Bet Right🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -4.78%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.80%EV -10.02%E -5.45%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.71%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-03 19:30
1xBet🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 26.66%EV -6.60%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.71%EV -6.11%E -3.18%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.63%EV +1.05%E +0.259%K +0.344%G +0.004%4.8%2026-10-03 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 25.85%EV -7.12%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -8.07%E -4.29%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -8.71%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-03 16:49
Pinnacle🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.17%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -4.16%E -2.12%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.54%EV -8.21%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-03 17:00
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -8.56%E -4.58%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -4.96%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-03 16:54
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -9.54%E -5.15%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-03 16:49
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -9.54%E -5.15%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-03 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -9.54%E -5.15%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-03 17:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -9.54%E -5.15%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-03 17:15
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -11.98%E -6.66%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.46%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-03 19:40
DraftKings🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -9.99%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-03 20:10
Betsson🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.99%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.11%E -3.18%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-03 20:19
NordicBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.99%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.11%E -3.18%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-03 20:19
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -15.21%E -4.68%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -6.60%E -3.46%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -12.46%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 16:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets◎3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%1.68I 59.52%NM 51.19%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.93%16.3%2026-10-03 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 26.95%1.12I 89.29%NM 45.96%1.90I 52.63%NM 27.09%94.3%2026-10-03 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 26.95%1.12I 89.29%NM 45.96%1.90I 52.63%NM 27.09%94.3%2026-10-03 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 26.50%1.08I 92.59%NM 46.86%1.90I 52.63%NM 26.64%97.6%2026-10-03 19:55