Language:English
Cheltenham Town v Grimsby Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cheltenham Town (Local)
Prediction 26.39%3.79fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -0.632%
Kelly -0.867%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%26.51%26.39%29.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.483.503.7031.25%28.77%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Grimsby Town (Visit)
Prediction 47.63%2.10fair odd
EV +0.026%
Edge +0.013%
Kelly +0.024%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.92%47.51%47.60%49.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.861.951.952.1053.76%51.39%51.28%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.97%3.85fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.342%
Kelly -0.464%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.75%25.98%26.01%27.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.503.503.8030.77%28.56%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cheltenham Town (Local): 26.39%; Grimsby Town (Visit): 47.63%; Draw: 25.97%. For Grimsby Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.099. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.100, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.026%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -12.90%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV +0.026%E +0.013%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -12.90%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV +0.026%E +0.013%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 14:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -15.54%E -4.86%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -2.36%E -1.15%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.30%E -0.342%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -15.54%E -4.86%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -2.36%E -1.15%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-02 05:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -12.90%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -3.78%E -1.87%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -2.60%E -0.693%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 15:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 08:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 08:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -2.60%E -0.693%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 05:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 15:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -14.22%E -4.37%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.79%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 15:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -14.22%E -4.37%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 15:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -5.69%E -2.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 08:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -5.69%E -2.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 08:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -5.69%E -2.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 08:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.26%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.12%EV -6.17%E -3.13%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.57%EV -6.17%E -3.13%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.57%EV -6.17%E -3.13%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 14:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 14:03 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.01%EV -5.51%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.76%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.79%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-02 15:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 14:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-02 05:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-02 05:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-02 05:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-02 05:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -15.54%E -4.86%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-02 15:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -5.51%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.01%EV -8.07%E -4.18%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -7.79%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 15:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.20%EV -8.07%E -4.18%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -10.39%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 05:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -2.34%E -0.632%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.55%E -4.45%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.39%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 14:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -2.34%E -0.632%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.55%E -4.45%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.39%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -8.55%E -4.45%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-04 03:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -2.34%E -0.632%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 09:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-02 05:12 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.50%E -5.00%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-04 13:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -9.50%E -5.00%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.37%EV -9.50%E -5.00%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-03 14:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.50%EV -9.98%E -5.28%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-03 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.50%EV -9.98%E -5.28%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-03 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.50%EV -9.98%E -5.28%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-03 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.50%EV -9.98%E -5.28%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-03 14:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.50%EV -9.98%E -5.28%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-03 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.50%EV -9.98%E -5.28%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-03 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.50%EV -9.98%E -5.28%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-03 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.50%EV -9.98%E -5.28%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-03 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.64%EV -10.45%E -5.56%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-03 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.64%EV -10.45%E -5.56%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-03 14:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -10.93%E -5.84%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-02 05:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.53%EV -11.41%E -6.13%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -15.59%E -4.80%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-03 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.53%EV -11.41%E -6.13%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -15.59%E -4.80%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-03 14:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.93% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53% | 0.5% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.24% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.26% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.24% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.26% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.24% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.26% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.18% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.43% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |