Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cheltenham Town v Grimsby Town

Início: 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC

Final: Cheltenham Town 2–2 Grimsby Town

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cheltenham Town (Local)

Previsão 26.39%3.79odd justa
EV -2.34%
Vantagem -0.632%
Kelly -0.867%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.00%26.51%26.39%29.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.483.503.7031.25%28.77%28.57%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Grimsby Town (Visitante)

Previsão 47.63%2.10odd justa
EV +0.026%
Vantagem +0.013%
Kelly +0.024%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.92%47.51%47.60%49.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.861.951.952.1053.76%51.39%51.28%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.97%3.85odd justa
EV -1.30%
Vantagem -0.342%
Kelly -0.464%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.75%25.98%26.01%27.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.503.503.8030.77%28.56%28.57%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cheltenham Town (Local): 26.39%; Grimsby Town (Visitante): 47.63%; Empate: 25.97%. Para Grimsby Town (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.099. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.100, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.026%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -12.90%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV +0.026%E +0.013%K +0.024%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 11:35
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -12.90%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV +0.026%E +0.013%K +0.024%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 14:05
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -15.54%E -4.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -2.36%E -1.15%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.30%E -0.342%K -0.464%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 14:05
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -15.54%E -4.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -2.36%E -1.15%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 05:04
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -12.90%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -3.78%E -1.87%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -2.60%E -0.693%K -0.945%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 15:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 08:29
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 08:29
betfred_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -2.60%E -0.693%K -0.945%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 05:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 15:04
Bet Right🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -14.22%E -4.37%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.79%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 15:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -14.22%E -4.37%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 15:05
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -5.69%E -2.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 08:30
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -5.69%E -2.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 08:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -5.69%E -2.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 08:29
Pinnacle🎯3.61I 27.70%NM 26.26%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.12%EV -6.17%E -3.13%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 14:15
LowVig.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.57%EV -6.17%E -3.13%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 14:24
BetOnline.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.57%EV -6.17%E -3.13%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 14:25
DraftKings🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 14:00
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 14:04
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 14:03
BetUS🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:20
1xBet🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 26.01%EV -5.51%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.76%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.79%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 15:04
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 14:25
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 14:14
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-02 05:04
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-02 05:05
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-02 05:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-02 05:05
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -15.54%E -4.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 15:04
Marathon Bet🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -5.51%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.01%EV -8.07%E -4.18%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -7.79%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 15:05
Codere (IT)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.20%EV -8.07%E -4.18%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -10.39%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 05:09
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -2.34%E -0.632%K -0.867%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.55%E -4.45%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.39%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 14:34
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -2.34%E -0.632%K -0.867%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.55%E -4.45%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.39%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 14:35
LeoVegas🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -8.55%E -4.45%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 03:35
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -2.34%E -0.632%K -0.867%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 09:25
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-02 05:12
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.50%E -5.00%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 13:34
PlayUp🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -9.50%E -5.00%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 14:20
Unibet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.37%EV -9.50%E -5.00%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-03 14:19
Unibet (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.50%EV -9.98%E -5.28%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-03 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.50%EV -9.98%E -5.28%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-03 14:20
Casumo🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.50%EV -9.98%E -5.28%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-03 14:20
TABtouch🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.50%EV -9.98%E -5.28%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-03 14:20
BetRivers🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.50%EV -9.98%E -5.28%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-03 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.50%EV -9.98%E -5.28%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-03 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.50%EV -9.98%E -5.28%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-03 14:20
betPARX🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.50%EV -9.98%E -5.28%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-03 14:20
Grosvenor🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.64%EV -10.45%E -5.56%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.64%EV -10.45%E -5.56%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 14:20
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -10.93%E -5.84%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-02 05:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.53%EV -11.41%E -6.13%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -15.59%E -4.80%K -6.93%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-03 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.53%EV -11.41%E -6.13%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -15.59%E -4.80%K -6.93%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-03 14:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53%0.5%2026-09-04 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.24%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.26%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-09-04 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.24%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.26%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-09-04 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.24%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.26%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-09-04 12:55
Smarkets◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.18%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.43%3.6%2026-09-04 14:05