A Escola das Odds

Cheltenham Town v Crewe Alexandra

Início: 2026-03-17 19:47 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cheltenham Town (Local)

Previsão 31.58%3.17odd justa
EV -2.10%
Vantagem -0.677%
Kelly -0.999%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.13%31.65%31.55%34.21%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.652.872.903.1037.74%34.90%34.48%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Crewe Alexandra (Visitante)

Previsão 38.80%2.58odd justa
EV -3.79%
Vantagem -1.53%
Kelly -2.56%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.01%38.71%38.84%40.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.302.412.402.4843.48%41.50%41.67%40.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.62%3.38odd justa
EV -2.24%
Vantagem -0.680%
Kelly -0.976%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.99%29.64%29.61%30.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.903.153.203.3034.48%31.72%31.25%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -2.10%E -0.677%K -0.999%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 19:44
LowVig.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.09%EV -2.73%E -0.886%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.30%EV -6.39%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 19:45
BetOnline.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.09%EV -2.73%E -0.886%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.30%EV -6.39%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 19:45
Pinnacle3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV -3.68%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.40%EV -6.12%E -2.53%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34%EV -3.72%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 19:44
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -3.72%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 19:45
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 19:44
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 19:45
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 19:44
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 19:45
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -5.89%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 19:45
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -5.89%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 19:45
Marathon Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.47%EV -6.50%E -2.70%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.10%EV -8.76%E -2.84%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:44
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 19:44
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 19:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 19:44
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 19:44
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 19:44
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 19:45
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 19:44
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -2.24%E -0.680%K -0.976%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 19:45
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:44
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:45
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.65%EV -8.44%E -3.58%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -9.65%E -3.16%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:45
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 19:44
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 19:45
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 19:45
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-17 19:45
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -9.99%E -3.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 19:45
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:44
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 19:44
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -14.09%E -4.86%K -7.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-17 19:45
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -14.73%E -5.46%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:45
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -14.73%E -5.46%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:45
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -14.73%E -5.46%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:45
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -14.73%E -5.46%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:44
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -14.73%E -5.46%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -14.73%E -5.46%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:45
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -14.73%E -5.46%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:45
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -14.73%E -5.46%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:44
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -14.73%E -5.46%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:44
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -14.73%E -5.46%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:45
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -16.31%E -6.15%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 19:45
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -16.31%E -6.15%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 19:44
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -16.31%E -6.15%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 19:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.24%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.36%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.40%0.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%1.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%1.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 31.43%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.95%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62%4.3%2026-03-17 19:45