L’École des cotesFrançais
Cheltenham Town v Crewe Alexandra
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Cheltenham Town (Local)
Prévision 31.58%3.17cote équitable
EV -2.10%
Avantage -0.677%
Kelly -0.999%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.13%31.65%31.55%34.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.872.903.1037.74%34.90%34.48%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Crewe Alexandra (Visiteur)
Prévision 38.80%2.58cote équitable
EV -3.79%
Avantage -1.53%
Kelly -2.56%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.48
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.01%38.71%38.84%40.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.412.402.4843.48%41.50%41.67%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.62%3.38cote équitable
EV -2.24%
Avantage -0.680%
Kelly -0.976%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.99%29.64%29.61%30.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.153.203.3034.48%31.72%31.25%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -2.10%E -0.677%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.09%EV -2.73%E -0.886%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.30%EV -6.39%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.09%EV -2.73%E -0.886%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.30%EV -6.39%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Pinnacle | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV -3.68%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.40%EV -6.12%E -2.53%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34%EV -3.72%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -3.72%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| DraftKings | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -5.89%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Betsson | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -5.89%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.47%EV -6.50%E -2.70%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.10%EV -8.76%E -2.84%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Bovada | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| BetUS | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Coolbet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| BetMGM | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Neds | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Sky Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -2.24%E -0.680%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| theScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.65%EV -8.44%E -3.58%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -9.65%E -3.16%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Fanatics | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -9.99%E -3.51%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Bet Right | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| BoyleSports | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Betway | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -14.09%E -4.86%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -14.73%E -5.46%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -14.73%E -5.46%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -14.73%E -5.46%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -14.73%E -5.46%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -14.73%E -5.46%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -14.73%E -5.46%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -14.73%E -5.46%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -14.73%E -5.46%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -14.73%E -5.46%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -14.73%E -5.46%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -16.31%E -6.15%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -16.31%E -6.15%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -16.31%E -6.15%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.24% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.36% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.40% | 0.0% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Smarkets | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.43% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.95% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62% | 4.3% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |