La escuela de los momios

Cheltenham Town v Crewe Alexandra

Inicio: 2026-03-17 19:47 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cheltenham Town (Local)

Predicción 31.58%3.17momio equitativo
EV -2.10%
Ventaja -0.677%
Kelly -0.999%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.13%31.65%31.55%34.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.872.903.1037.74%34.90%34.48%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Crewe Alexandra (Visitante)

Predicción 38.80%2.58momio equitativo
EV -3.79%
Ventaja -1.53%
Kelly -2.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.01%38.71%38.84%40.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.412.402.4843.48%41.50%41.67%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.62%3.38momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -0.680%
Kelly -0.976%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.99%29.64%29.61%30.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.153.203.3034.48%31.72%31.25%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -2.10%E -0.677%K -0.999%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 19:44
LowVig.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.09%EV -2.73%E -0.886%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.30%EV -6.39%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 19:45
BetOnline.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.09%EV -2.73%E -0.886%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.30%EV -6.39%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 19:45
Pinnacle3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV -3.68%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.40%EV -6.12%E -2.53%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34%EV -3.72%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 19:44
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -3.72%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 19:45
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 19:44
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 19:45
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 19:44
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 19:45
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -5.89%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 19:45
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -5.89%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 19:45
Marathon Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.47%EV -6.50%E -2.70%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.10%EV -8.76%E -2.84%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:44
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 19:44
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 19:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 19:44
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 19:44
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 19:44
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 19:45
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 19:44
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -2.24%E -0.680%K -0.976%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 19:45
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:44
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:45
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.65%EV -8.44%E -3.58%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -9.65%E -3.16%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:45
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 19:44
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 19:45
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 19:45
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-17 19:45
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -9.99%E -3.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 19:45
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:44
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 19:44
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -14.09%E -4.86%K -7.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-17 19:45
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -14.73%E -5.46%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:45
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -14.73%E -5.46%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:45
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -14.73%E -5.46%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:45
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -14.73%E -5.46%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:44
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -14.73%E -5.46%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -14.73%E -5.46%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:45
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -14.73%E -5.46%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:45
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -14.73%E -5.46%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:44
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -14.73%E -5.46%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:44
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -14.73%E -5.46%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:45
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -16.31%E -6.15%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 19:45
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -16.31%E -6.15%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 19:44
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -16.31%E -6.15%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 19:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.24%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.36%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.40%0.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%1.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%1.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 31.43%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.95%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62%4.3%2026-03-17 19:45