L’École des cotes

Cheltenham Town v Cambridge United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-06 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cheltenham Town (Local)

Prévision 16.38%6.10cote équitable
EV -1.71%
Avantage -0.285%
Kelly -0.342%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.84%16.48%16.24%18.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.585.506.0020.00%17.91%18.18%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cambridge United (Visiteur)

Prévision 58.31%1.71cote équitable
EV -3.78%
Avantage -2.29%
Kelly -5.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.39%58.18%58.53%59.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.601.611.6565.36%62.44%62.11%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.31%3.95cote équitable
EV -1.31%
Avantage -0.335%
Kelly -0.451%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.57%25.34%25.23%26.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.633.603.9030.30%27.58%27.78%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 16.02%EV -1.71%E -0.285%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.33%EV -5.53%E -3.42%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.65%EV -1.31%E -0.335%K -0.451%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 13:50
BetOnline.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 16.02%EV -1.71%E -0.285%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.33%EV -5.53%E -3.42%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.65%EV -1.31%E -0.335%K -0.451%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 13:50
Bet Victor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -1.71%E -0.285%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -6.70%E -4.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 12:34
Sky Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -1.71%E -0.285%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -8.45%E -5.38%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.84%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 13:50
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -1.71%E -0.285%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.31%EV -8.45%E -5.38%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:50
SportsBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -1.71%E -0.285%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -9.62%E -6.20%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:50
Tipico (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -1.71%E -0.285%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -9.62%E -6.20%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 12:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.84%EV -1.71%E -0.285%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.19%EV -10.78%E -7.05%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -16.49%E -5.00%K -7.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-06 13:50
Betsson5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -3.35%E -0.567%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -7.87%E -4.98%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 12:35
NordicBet5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -3.35%E -0.567%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -7.87%E -4.98%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 12:35
Pinnacle5.85I 17.09%NM 16.23%EV -4.17%E -0.712%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.98%EV -6.12%E -3.80%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.79%EV -3.08%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:50
DraftKings5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -5.80%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.89%EV -6.12%E -3.80%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -2.57%E -0.668%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 12:35
Unibet (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -5.80%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.65%EV -6.70%E -4.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 12:35
Betr (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.80%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -5.53%E -3.42%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 08:49
Coolbet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.80%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -5.53%E -3.42%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 09:29
PointsBet (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -5.80%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.78%EV -7.28%E -4.58%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 11:54
Bet Right5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -5.80%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -6.70%E -4.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -12.70%E -3.68%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 11:54
Marathon Bet5.70I 17.54%NM 16.27%EV -6.62%E -1.16%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.68%EV -7.87%E -4.98%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 13:50
1xBet5.63I 17.76%NM 16.56%EV -7.77%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -6.70%E -4.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:50
Codere (IT)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -8.26%E -1.48%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -8.45%E -5.38%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -10.16%E -2.86%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 12:35
Coral5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -9.90%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.78%E -2.29%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 11:54
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -9.90%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -5.53%E -3.42%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -9.90%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.12%E -3.80%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 11:54
Fanatics5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -9.90%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -5.53%E -3.42%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 11:10
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -9.90%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -5.53%E -3.42%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 12:35
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.90%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.45%E -5.38%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 12:15
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -9.90%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.45%E -5.38%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 13:50
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -9.90%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -9.62%E -6.20%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-06 12:35
Ladbrokes (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.54%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -5.53%E -3.42%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 11:54
Neds5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.54%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -5.53%E -3.42%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 11:54
BetUS5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -11.54%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -8.45%E -5.38%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -7.63%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 12:35
Unibet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -13.18%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.39%EV -4.95%E -3.04%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 13:35
Grosvenor5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -13.18%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.39%EV -4.95%E -3.04%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 13:35
Casumo5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -13.18%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.39%EV -4.95%E -3.04%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 13:35
BetRivers5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -13.18%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.39%EV -4.95%E -3.04%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -13.18%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.39%EV -4.95%E -3.04%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 13:35
Unibet (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -13.18%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.39%EV -4.95%E -3.04%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 13:35
Unibet (NL)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -13.18%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.39%EV -4.95%E -3.04%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 13:35
TABtouch5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -13.18%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.39%EV -4.95%E -3.04%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 13:35
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -14.00%E -2.67%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.17%EV -6.70%E -4.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 12:35
LiveScore Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -14.00%E -2.67%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -6.12%E -3.80%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 13:35
Virgin Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -14.00%E -2.67%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -6.12%E -3.80%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 13:35
LeoVegas5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -14.00%E -2.67%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -6.12%E -3.80%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 13:35
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -18.09%E -3.62%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.12%E -3.80%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 10:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.48%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.26%0.2%2026-04-06 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%0.5%2026-04-06 13:50
Matchbook7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.28%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%0.5%2026-04-06 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.23%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%0.6%2026-04-06 13:50
Smarkets6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.18%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.31%1.3%2026-04-06 13:50