La escuela de los momios

Cheltenham Town v Cambridge United

Inicio: 2026-04-06 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cheltenham Town (Local)

Predicción 16.38%6.10momio equitativo
EV -1.71%
Ventaja -0.285%
Kelly -0.342%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.84%16.48%16.24%18.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.585.506.0020.00%17.91%18.18%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cambridge United (Visitante)

Predicción 58.31%1.71momio equitativo
EV -3.78%
Ventaja -2.29%
Kelly -5.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.39%58.18%58.53%59.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.601.611.6565.36%62.44%62.11%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.31%3.95momio equitativo
EV -1.31%
Ventaja -0.335%
Kelly -0.451%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.57%25.34%25.23%26.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.633.603.9030.30%27.58%27.78%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 16.02%EV -1.71%E -0.285%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.33%EV -5.53%E -3.42%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.65%EV -1.31%E -0.335%K -0.451%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 13:50
BetOnline.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 16.02%EV -1.71%E -0.285%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.33%EV -5.53%E -3.42%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.65%EV -1.31%E -0.335%K -0.451%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 13:50
Bet Victor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -1.71%E -0.285%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -6.70%E -4.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 12:34
Sky Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -1.71%E -0.285%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -8.45%E -5.38%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.84%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 13:50
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -1.71%E -0.285%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.31%EV -8.45%E -5.38%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:50
SportsBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -1.71%E -0.285%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -9.62%E -6.20%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:50
Tipico (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -1.71%E -0.285%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -9.62%E -6.20%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 12:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.84%EV -1.71%E -0.285%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.19%EV -10.78%E -7.05%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -16.49%E -5.00%K -7.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-06 13:50
Betsson5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -3.35%E -0.567%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -7.87%E -4.98%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 12:35
NordicBet5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -3.35%E -0.567%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -7.87%E -4.98%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 12:35
Pinnacle5.85I 17.09%NM 16.23%EV -4.17%E -0.712%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.98%EV -6.12%E -3.80%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.79%EV -3.08%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:50
DraftKings5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -5.80%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.89%EV -6.12%E -3.80%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -2.57%E -0.668%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 12:35
Unibet (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -5.80%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.65%EV -6.70%E -4.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 12:35
Betr (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.80%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -5.53%E -3.42%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 08:49
Coolbet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.80%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -5.53%E -3.42%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 09:29
PointsBet (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -5.80%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.78%EV -7.28%E -4.58%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 11:54
Bet Right5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -5.80%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -6.70%E -4.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -12.70%E -3.68%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 11:54
Marathon Bet5.70I 17.54%NM 16.27%EV -6.62%E -1.16%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.68%EV -7.87%E -4.98%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 13:50
1xBet5.63I 17.76%NM 16.56%EV -7.77%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -6.70%E -4.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:50
Codere (IT)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -8.26%E -1.48%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -8.45%E -5.38%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -10.16%E -2.86%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 12:35
Coral5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -9.90%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.78%E -2.29%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 11:54
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -9.90%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -5.53%E -3.42%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -9.90%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.12%E -3.80%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 11:54
Fanatics5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -9.90%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -5.53%E -3.42%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 11:10
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -9.90%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -5.53%E -3.42%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 12:35
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.90%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.45%E -5.38%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 12:15
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -9.90%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.45%E -5.38%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 13:50
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -9.90%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -9.62%E -6.20%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-06 12:35
Ladbrokes (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.54%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -5.53%E -3.42%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 11:54
Neds5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.54%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -5.53%E -3.42%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 11:54
BetUS5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -11.54%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -8.45%E -5.38%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -7.63%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 12:35
Unibet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -13.18%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.39%EV -4.95%E -3.04%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 13:35
Grosvenor5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -13.18%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.39%EV -4.95%E -3.04%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 13:35
Casumo5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -13.18%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.39%EV -4.95%E -3.04%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 13:35
BetRivers5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -13.18%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.39%EV -4.95%E -3.04%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -13.18%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.39%EV -4.95%E -3.04%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 13:35
Unibet (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -13.18%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.39%EV -4.95%E -3.04%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 13:35
Unibet (NL)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -13.18%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.39%EV -4.95%E -3.04%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 13:35
TABtouch5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -13.18%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.39%EV -4.95%E -3.04%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 13:35
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -14.00%E -2.67%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.17%EV -6.70%E -4.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 12:35
LiveScore Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -14.00%E -2.67%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -6.12%E -3.80%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 13:35
Virgin Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -14.00%E -2.67%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -6.12%E -3.80%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 13:35
LeoVegas5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -14.00%E -2.67%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -6.12%E -3.80%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 13:35
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -18.09%E -3.62%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.12%E -3.80%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 10:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.48%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.26%0.2%2026-04-06 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%0.5%2026-04-06 13:50
Matchbook7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.28%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%0.5%2026-04-06 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.23%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%0.6%2026-04-06 13:50
Smarkets6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.18%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.31%1.3%2026-04-06 13:50