Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cambridge United v Barrow

Kickoff: 2026-04-25 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cambridge United (Local)

Prediction 71.25%1.40fair odd
EV -3.82%
Edge -2.83%
Kelly -10.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.23%71.09%71.26%72.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.311.311.3580.00%76.15%76.34%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Barrow (Visit)

Prediction 8.85%11.30fair odd
EV +6.15%
Edge +0.513%
Kelly +0.559%
Growth +0.034%

assuming max odds 12.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.80%9.02%8.84%10.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.509.8210.0012.0011.76%10.18%10.00%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.91%5.02fair odd
EV -0.470%
Edge -0.094%
Kelly -0.118%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.83%19.89%19.90%21.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.254.574.505.0023.53%21.88%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cambridge United (Local): 71.25%; Barrow (Visit): 8.85%; Draw: 19.91%. For Barrow (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.30. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.15%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.51%EV -8.09%E -6.27%K -27.90%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.80%EV +6.15%E +0.513%K +0.559%G +0.034%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -5.45%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 14:05
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.98%EV -8.09%E -6.27%K -27.90%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV +1.73%E +0.151%K +0.165%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.470%E -0.094%K -0.118%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 14:05
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.85%EV -5.95%E -4.51%K -18.60%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.13%EV +1.73%E +0.151%K +0.165%G +0.003%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -11.42%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 11:04
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.85%EV -5.95%E -4.51%K -18.60%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.13%EV +1.73%E +0.151%K +0.165%G +0.003%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -11.42%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 11:05
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.27%EV -8.09%E -6.27%K -27.90%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.11%EV +1.73%E +0.151%K +0.165%G +0.003%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.45%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.42%EV -8.80%E -6.88%K -31.44%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.06%EV +1.73%E +0.151%K +0.165%G +0.003%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -5.45%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.08%EV -5.95%E -4.51%K -18.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%EV -2.69%E -0.245%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -8.43%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.99%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.51%EV -2.69%E -0.245%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.45%E -0.927%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 14:39
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -2.69%E -0.245%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.45%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 11:10
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.75%EV -5.95%E -4.51%K -18.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -2.69%E -0.245%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -10.42%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 11:19
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.39%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -2.69%E -0.245%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.43%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 11:25
Bet Right🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.74%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -2.69%E -0.245%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -12.41%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 11:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.23%EV -8.09%E -6.27%K -27.90%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -2.69%E -0.245%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.42%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 07:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.70%EV -8.80%E -6.88%K -31.44%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.34%EV -2.69%E -0.245%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -8.43%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:39
theScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.70%EV -8.80%E -6.88%K -31.44%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.34%EV -2.69%E -0.245%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -8.43%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 09:19
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.22%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.30%EV -2.69%E -0.245%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.48%EV -15.40%E -3.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 11:04
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.18%EV -10.94%E -8.75%K -43.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.20%EV -2.69%E -0.245%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -8.43%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 11:19
Pinnacle🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.26%EV -6.67%E -5.09%K -21.50%G +0.000%10.22I 9.78%NM 9.13%EV -9.59%E -0.939%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.61%EV -5.25%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 11:15
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.51%EV -6.67%E -5.09%K -21.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -11.54%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -2.46%E -0.502%K -0.631%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:05
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.32%EV -6.67%E -5.09%K -21.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -11.54%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -10.42%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 00:09
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.25%EV -8.09%E -6.27%K -27.90%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -11.54%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -6.44%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 10:43
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -11.54%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.42%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 09:50
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -11.54%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.42%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 09:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -11.54%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.42%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 09:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -11.54%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.42%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 09:49
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.95%EV -8.09%E -6.27%K -27.90%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -11.54%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.43%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 11:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.98%EV -8.80%E -6.88%K -31.44%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.27%EV -13.31%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -8.43%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.12%EV -5.24%E -3.94%K -15.88%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.96%EV -15.96%E -1.68%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -0.470%E -0.094%K -0.118%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 09:50
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.12%EV -5.24%E -3.94%K -15.88%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.96%EV -15.96%E -1.68%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -0.470%E -0.094%K -0.118%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 13:39
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -5.24%E -3.94%K -15.88%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.20%EV -18.17%E -1.96%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -0.470%E -0.094%K -0.118%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.34%EV -5.95%E -4.51%K -18.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -20.38%E -2.26%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -4.45%E -0.927%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 09:50
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.34%EV -5.95%E -4.51%K -18.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -20.38%E -2.26%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -4.45%E -0.927%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 09:50
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -20.38%E -2.26%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -5.45%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 10:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -8.09%E -6.27%K -27.90%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -20.38%E -2.26%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -10.42%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 15:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -8.09%E -6.27%K -27.90%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -20.38%E -2.26%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -10.42%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 15:20
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -8.09%E -6.27%K -27.90%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -20.38%E -2.26%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -10.42%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 15:20
Everygame🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.55%EV -8.80%E -6.88%K -31.44%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.89%EV -20.38%E -2.26%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.56%EV -13.81%E -3.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-24 03:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.83%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -24.81%E -2.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -12.41%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.83%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -24.81%E -2.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -12.41%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:04
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.83%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -24.81%E -2.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -12.41%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:04
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.83%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -24.81%E -2.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -12.41%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.83%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -24.81%E -2.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -12.41%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:04
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.83%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -24.81%E -2.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -12.41%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:04
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.83%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -24.81%E -2.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -12.41%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:05
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.83%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -24.81%E -2.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -12.41%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.83%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -24.81%E -2.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -12.41%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.83%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -24.81%E -2.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -12.41%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:04
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.83%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -24.81%E -2.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -12.41%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.23%EV -4.53%E -3.38%K -13.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -24.81%E -2.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.02%EV -13.41%E -3.08%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 14:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.23%EV -4.53%E -3.38%K -13.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -24.81%E -2.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.02%EV -13.41%E -3.08%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 14:40
LeoVegas🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.23%EV -4.53%E -3.38%K -13.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -24.81%E -2.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.02%EV -13.41%E -3.08%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 14:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 72.40%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.24%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.36%2.3%2026-04-23 21:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 72.40%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.24%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.36%2.3%2026-04-23 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 72.40%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.24%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.36%2.3%2026-04-23 21:00
Matchbook1.34I 74.63%NM 71.50%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.67%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%4.4%2026-04-24 02:50
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 72.54%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.37%4.4%2026-04-23 14:49