Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cambridge United v Barrow

Inicio: 2026-04-25 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cambridge United (Local)

Predicción 71.25%1.40momio equitativo
EV -3.82%
Ventaja -2.83%
Kelly -10.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.23%71.09%71.26%72.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.251.311.311.3580.00%76.15%76.34%74.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Barrow (Visitante)

Predicción 8.85%11.30momio equitativo
EV +6.15%
Ventaja +0.513%
Kelly +0.559%
Crecimiento +0.034%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.80%9.02%8.84%10.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
8.509.8210.0012.0011.76%10.18%10.00%8.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 19.91%5.02momio equitativo
EV -0.470%
Ventaja -0.094%
Kelly -0.118%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.83%19.89%19.90%21.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.254.574.505.0023.53%21.88%22.22%20.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cambridge United (Local): 71.25%; Barrow (Visitante): 8.85%; Empate: 19.91%. Para Barrow (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 11.30. 6 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 12.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +6.15%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.51%EV -8.09%E -6.27%K -27.90%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.80%EV +6.15%E +0.513%K +0.559%G +0.034%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -5.45%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 14:05
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.98%EV -8.09%E -6.27%K -27.90%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV +1.73%E +0.151%K +0.165%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.470%E -0.094%K -0.118%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 14:05
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.85%EV -5.95%E -4.51%K -18.60%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.13%EV +1.73%E +0.151%K +0.165%G +0.003%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -11.42%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 11:04
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.85%EV -5.95%E -4.51%K -18.60%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.13%EV +1.73%E +0.151%K +0.165%G +0.003%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -11.42%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 11:05
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.27%EV -8.09%E -6.27%K -27.90%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.11%EV +1.73%E +0.151%K +0.165%G +0.003%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.45%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.42%EV -8.80%E -6.88%K -31.44%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.06%EV +1.73%E +0.151%K +0.165%G +0.003%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -5.45%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.08%EV -5.95%E -4.51%K -18.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%EV -2.69%E -0.245%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -8.43%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.99%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.51%EV -2.69%E -0.245%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.45%E -0.927%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 14:39
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -2.69%E -0.245%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.45%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 11:10
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.75%EV -5.95%E -4.51%K -18.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -2.69%E -0.245%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -10.42%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 11:19
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.39%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -2.69%E -0.245%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.43%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 11:25
Bet Right🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.74%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -2.69%E -0.245%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -12.41%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 11:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.23%EV -8.09%E -6.27%K -27.90%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -2.69%E -0.245%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.42%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 07:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.70%EV -8.80%E -6.88%K -31.44%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.34%EV -2.69%E -0.245%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -8.43%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:39
theScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.70%EV -8.80%E -6.88%K -31.44%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.34%EV -2.69%E -0.245%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -8.43%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 09:19
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.22%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.30%EV -2.69%E -0.245%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.48%EV -15.40%E -3.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 11:04
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.18%EV -10.94%E -8.75%K -43.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.20%EV -2.69%E -0.245%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -8.43%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 11:19
Pinnacle🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.26%EV -6.67%E -5.09%K -21.50%G +0.000%10.22I 9.78%NM 9.13%EV -9.59%E -0.939%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.61%EV -5.25%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 11:15
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.51%EV -6.67%E -5.09%K -21.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -11.54%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -2.46%E -0.502%K -0.631%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:05
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.32%EV -6.67%E -5.09%K -21.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -11.54%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -10.42%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 00:09
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.25%EV -8.09%E -6.27%K -27.90%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -11.54%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -6.44%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 10:43
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -11.54%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.42%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 09:50
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -11.54%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.42%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 09:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -11.54%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.42%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 09:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -11.54%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.42%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 09:49
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.95%EV -8.09%E -6.27%K -27.90%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -11.54%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.43%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 11:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.98%EV -8.80%E -6.88%K -31.44%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.27%EV -13.31%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -8.43%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.12%EV -5.24%E -3.94%K -15.88%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.96%EV -15.96%E -1.68%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -0.470%E -0.094%K -0.118%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 09:50
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.12%EV -5.24%E -3.94%K -15.88%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.96%EV -15.96%E -1.68%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -0.470%E -0.094%K -0.118%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 13:39
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -5.24%E -3.94%K -15.88%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.20%EV -18.17%E -1.96%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -0.470%E -0.094%K -0.118%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.34%EV -5.95%E -4.51%K -18.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -20.38%E -2.26%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -4.45%E -0.927%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 09:50
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.34%EV -5.95%E -4.51%K -18.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -20.38%E -2.26%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -4.45%E -0.927%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 09:50
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -20.38%E -2.26%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -5.45%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 10:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -8.09%E -6.27%K -27.90%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -20.38%E -2.26%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -10.42%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 15:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -8.09%E -6.27%K -27.90%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -20.38%E -2.26%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -10.42%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 15:20
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -8.09%E -6.27%K -27.90%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -20.38%E -2.26%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -10.42%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 15:20
Everygame🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.55%EV -8.80%E -6.88%K -31.44%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.89%EV -20.38%E -2.26%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.56%EV -13.81%E -3.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-24 03:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.83%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -24.81%E -2.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -12.41%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.83%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -24.81%E -2.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -12.41%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:04
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.83%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -24.81%E -2.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -12.41%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:04
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.83%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -24.81%E -2.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -12.41%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.83%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -24.81%E -2.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -12.41%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:04
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.83%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -24.81%E -2.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -12.41%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:04
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.83%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -24.81%E -2.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -12.41%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:05
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.83%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -24.81%E -2.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -12.41%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.83%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -24.81%E -2.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -12.41%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.83%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -24.81%E -2.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -12.41%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:04
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.83%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -24.81%E -2.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -12.41%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.23%EV -4.53%E -3.38%K -13.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -24.81%E -2.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.02%EV -13.41%E -3.08%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 14:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.23%EV -4.53%E -3.38%K -13.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -24.81%E -2.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.02%EV -13.41%E -3.08%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 14:40
LeoVegas🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.23%EV -4.53%E -3.38%K -13.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -24.81%E -2.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.02%EV -13.41%E -3.08%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 14:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 72.40%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.24%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.36%2.3%2026-04-23 21:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 72.40%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.24%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.36%2.3%2026-04-23 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 72.40%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.24%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.36%2.3%2026-04-23 21:00
Matchbook1.34I 74.63%NM 71.50%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.67%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%4.4%2026-04-24 02:50
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 72.54%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.37%4.4%2026-04-23 14:49