Language:English
Bristol Rovers v Newport County
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bristol Rovers (Local)
Prediction 55.65%1.80fair odd
EV -5.40%
Edge -3.18%
Kelly -7.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.96%55.67%55.67%57.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.661.671.7063.29%60.41%59.88%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Newport County (Visit)
Prediction 19.88%5.03fair odd
EV +4.95%
Edge +0.938%
Kelly +1.16%
Growth +0.057%
assuming max odds 5.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.71%19.81%19.90%20.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.694.705.2822.22%21.33%21.28%18.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.48%4.09fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.524%
Kelly -0.698%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.19%24.52%24.43%26.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.723.704.0028.57%26.85%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bristol Rovers (Local): 55.65%; Newport County (Visit): 19.88%; Draw: 24.48%. For Newport County (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.03. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.95%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.65%EV -6.51%E -3.88%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 17.71%EV +4.95%E +0.938%K +1.16%G +0.057% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.64%EV -14.09%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 11:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.615%E -0.123%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 11:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -0.615%E -0.123%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.21%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.97%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.18%EV -1.41%E -0.284%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.85%EV -2.34%E -0.586%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.18%EV -5.96%E -3.52%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -4.59%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.32%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 11:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -10.97%E -6.85%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -4.59%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.54%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -8.18%E -4.96%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -4.59%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 11:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -8.18%E -4.96%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -4.59%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -8.18%E -4.96%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -4.59%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 11:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -8.18%E -4.96%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -4.59%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 11:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -5.40%E -3.18%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.21%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -6.51%E -3.88%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.77%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.21%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-17 15:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-17 15:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-17 15:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-17 15:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-17 15:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-17 15:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.63%EV -5.40%E -3.18%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.25%EV -4.54%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -9.44%E -2.55%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.31%EV -7.63%E -4.59%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 11:18 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.22%EV -10.97%E -6.85%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.22%EV -10.97%E -6.85%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.89%EV -7.63%E -4.59%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -7.57%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.16%EV -6.01%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.41%EV -5.40%E -3.18%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -7.57%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.41%EV -5.40%E -3.18%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -7.57%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -5.40%E -3.18%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -2.09%E -0.524%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.40%E -3.18%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.54%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -5.40%E -3.18%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.18%EV -5.96%E -3.52%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -5.40%E -3.18%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.21%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -5.40%E -3.18%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.21%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.51%EV -6.51%E -3.88%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.77%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.51%EV -6.51%E -3.88%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.77%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.51%EV -6.51%E -3.88%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.77%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.44%E -2.55%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.44%E -2.55%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.11%EV -12.08%E -7.64%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.62%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-17 15:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.11%EV -12.08%E -7.64%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.62%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -8.18%E -4.96%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -10.55%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -2.09%E -0.524%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -10.55%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.55%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -9.44%E -2.55%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.55%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -9.44%E -2.55%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -5.96%E -3.52%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.55%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.55%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -9.85%E -6.08%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -10.55%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 11:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -6.51%E -3.88%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -10.55%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -14.33%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.62%EV -9.85%E -6.08%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -10.55%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -9.44%E -2.55%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-22 09:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.91% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.29% | 0.4% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.91% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.29% | 0.4% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.71% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.57% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.16% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57% | 1.8% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |