Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Bristol Rovers v Newport County

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-22 11:30 UTC

Score final : Bristol Rovers 5–3 Newport County

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Bristol Rovers (Local)

Prévision 55.65%1.80cote équitable
EV -5.40%
Avantage -3.18%
Kelly -7.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.96%55.67%55.67%57.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.581.661.671.7063.29%60.41%59.88%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Newport County (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.88%5.03cote équitable
EV +4.95%
Avantage +0.938%
Kelly +1.16%
Croissance +0.057%

avec la cote maximale 5.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.71%19.81%19.90%20.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.504.694.705.2822.22%21.33%21.28%18.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.48%4.09cote équitable
EV -2.09%
Avantage -0.524%
Kelly -0.698%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.19%24.52%24.43%26.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.723.704.0028.57%26.85%27.03%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Bristol Rovers (Local) : 55.65% ; Newport County (Visiteur) : 19.88% ; Match nul : 24.48%. Pour Newport County (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.03. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.28, soit une espérance positive de +4.95%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.65%EV -6.51%E -3.88%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.28I 18.94%NM 17.71%EV +4.95%E +0.938%K +1.16%G +0.057%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.64%EV -14.09%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 11:24
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.615%E -0.123%K -0.154%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 11:23
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -0.615%E -0.123%K -0.154%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.21%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 11:25
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.97%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.18%EV -1.41%E -0.284%K -0.356%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.85%EV -2.34%E -0.586%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 11:25
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.18%EV -5.96%E -3.52%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -4.59%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.32%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 11:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -10.97%E -6.85%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -4.59%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.54%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 11:14
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -8.18%E -4.96%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -4.59%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 11:24
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -8.18%E -4.96%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -4.59%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -8.18%E -4.96%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -4.59%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 11:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -8.18%E -4.96%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -4.59%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 11:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -5.40%E -3.18%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.21%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 11:14
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -6.51%E -3.88%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.77%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 11:20
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.21%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 11:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-17 15:24
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-17 15:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-17 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-17 15:24
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-17 15:24
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-17 15:29
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-17 15:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-17 15:29
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-17 15:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.63%EV -5.40%E -3.18%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.25%EV -4.54%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 11:20
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -9.44%E -2.55%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 11:15
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.31%EV -7.63%E -4.59%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 11:18
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.22%EV -10.97%E -6.85%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-17 15:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.22%EV -10.97%E -6.85%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-17 15:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.89%EV -7.63%E -4.59%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -7.57%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.16%EV -6.01%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 11:15
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.41%EV -5.40%E -3.18%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -7.57%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 11:15
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.41%EV -5.40%E -3.18%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -7.57%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 11:15
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -5.40%E -3.18%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -2.09%E -0.524%K -0.698%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 11:20
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.40%E -3.18%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.54%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 11:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -5.40%E -3.18%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 11:14
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.18%EV -5.96%E -3.52%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 11:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -5.40%E -3.18%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.21%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 11:14
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -5.40%E -3.18%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.21%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 11:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.51%EV -6.51%E -3.88%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.77%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 11:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.51%EV -6.51%E -3.88%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.77%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 11:14
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.51%EV -6.51%E -3.88%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.77%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 11:20
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.44%E -2.55%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.44%E -2.55%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 11:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.11%EV -12.08%E -7.64%K -20.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.62%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-17 15:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.11%EV -12.08%E -7.64%K -20.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.62%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-17 15:29
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -8.18%E -4.96%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -10.55%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -2.09%E -0.524%K -0.698%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 11:14
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -10.55%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 11:15
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.55%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -9.44%E -2.55%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.55%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -9.44%E -2.55%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 11:20
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -5.96%E -3.52%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.55%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 11:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.55%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 11:20
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -9.85%E -6.08%K -15.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -10.55%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 11:10
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -6.51%E -3.88%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -10.55%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -14.33%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 11:15
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.62%EV -9.85%E -6.08%K -15.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -10.55%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -9.44%E -2.55%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-22 09:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.91%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.29%0.4%2026-08-22 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.91%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.29%0.4%2026-08-22 11:25
Matchbook◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.71%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.8%2026-08-22 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.57%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-08-22 11:20
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.16%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57%1.8%2026-08-22 11:25