Language:English
Bristol Rovers v Grimsby Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bristol Rovers (Local)
Prediction 30.44%3.28fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -0.612%
Kelly -0.888%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.45%30.55%30.48%32.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.983.003.2235.71%33.59%33.33%31.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Grimsby Town (Visit)
Prediction 41.69%2.40fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -2.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.50%41.60%41.71%43.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.252.252.3247.62%44.53%44.44%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.87%3.59fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -0.702%
Kelly -0.983%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.62%27.85%27.81%28.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.333.303.5031.25%30.07%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bristol Rovers (Local): 30.44%; Grimsby Town (Visit): 41.69%; Draw: 27.87%. For Bristol Rovers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.28. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.22, with an expected value of -1.97%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.64%EV -1.97%E -0.612%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.61%EV -6.62%E -2.96%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.75%EV -4.13%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.33%EV -3.80%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.49%EV -3.70%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.33%EV -3.80%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.49%EV -3.70%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 14:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.20%E -2.76%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.20%E -2.76%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-20 05:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.20%E -2.76%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-20 05:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -10.37%E -4.82%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.46%E -0.702%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.93%EV -7.48%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.82%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -10.37%E -4.82%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -10.37%E -4.82%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.37%EV -6.23%E -2.02%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -7.04%E -3.16%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.68%EV -5.80%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -6.20%E -2.76%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -9.12%E -4.18%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -3.85%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -9.12%E -4.18%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -3.85%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.12%E -1.79%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 10:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.20%E -2.76%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.46%E -0.702%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.20%E -2.76%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.20%E -2.76%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.20%E -2.76%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.20%E -2.76%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.20%E -2.76%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.20%E -2.76%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 14:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 14:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.37%E -4.82%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -12.46%E -5.93%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 40.62%EV -6.62%E -2.96%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 09:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -3.29%E -1.42%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -3.29%E -1.42%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -3.29%E -1.42%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -3.29%E -1.42%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -3.29%E -1.42%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -3.29%E -1.42%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -3.29%E -1.42%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -3.29%E -1.42%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -3.29%E -1.42%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -3.29%E -1.42%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -3.29%E -1.42%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -3.29%E -1.42%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -4.12%E -1.79%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -4.12%E -1.79%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.33% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97% | 3.6% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |