La escuela de los momios

Bristol Rovers v Grimsby Town

Inicio: 2026-02-21 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bristol Rovers (Local)

Predicción 30.44%3.28momio equitativo
EV -1.97%
Ventaja -0.612%
Kelly -0.888%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.45%30.55%30.48%32.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.802.983.003.2235.71%33.59%33.33%31.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Grimsby Town (Visitante)

Predicción 41.69%2.40momio equitativo
EV -3.29%
Ventaja -1.42%
Kelly -2.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.50%41.60%41.71%43.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.252.252.3247.62%44.53%44.44%43.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.87%3.59momio equitativo
EV -2.46%
Ventaja -0.702%
Kelly -0.983%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.62%27.85%27.81%28.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.333.303.5031.25%30.07%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.22I 31.06%NM 29.64%EV -1.97%E -0.612%K -0.888%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.61%EV -6.62%E -2.96%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.75%EV -4.13%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 14:50
LowVig.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.33%EV -3.80%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.49%EV -3.70%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 14:20
BetOnline.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.33%EV -3.80%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.49%EV -3.70%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 14:20
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.20%E -2.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 14:00
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.20%E -2.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-20 05:49
Betr (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.20%E -2.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-20 05:49
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -10.37%E -4.82%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.46%E -0.702%K -0.983%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:35
Marathon Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.93%EV -7.48%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 14:40
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:05
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:35
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.82%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 14:00
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -10.37%E -4.82%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:35
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -10.37%E -4.82%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 14:40
1xBet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.37%EV -6.23%E -2.02%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -7.04%E -3.16%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.68%EV -5.80%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:50
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -6.20%E -2.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 14:45
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -9.12%E -4.18%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -3.85%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:35
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -9.12%E -4.18%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -3.85%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:35
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.12%E -1.79%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 10:00
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.20%E -2.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.46%E -0.702%K -0.983%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-20 05:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.20%E -2.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:50
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.20%E -2.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:50
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.20%E -2.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:50
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.20%E -2.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:50
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.20%E -2.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 14:35
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.20%E -2.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 14:35
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:20
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:55
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:50
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:35
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 14:20
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 14:19
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 14:20
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 14:20
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.37%E -4.82%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-21 14:35
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -12.46%E -5.93%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 14:40
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 40.62%EV -6.62%E -2.96%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 09:59
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -3.29%E -1.42%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-20 05:50
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -3.29%E -1.42%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-20 05:50
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -3.29%E -1.42%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-20 05:50
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -3.29%E -1.42%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-20 05:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -3.29%E -1.42%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-20 05:50
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -3.29%E -1.42%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-20 05:50
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -3.29%E -1.42%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-20 05:50
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -3.29%E -1.42%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-20 05:50
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -3.29%E -1.42%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-20 05:50
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -3.29%E -1.42%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-20 05:50
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -3.29%E -1.42%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-20 05:50
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -3.29%E -1.42%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-20 05:50
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -4.12%E -1.79%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-20 05:50
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -4.12%E -1.79%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-20 05:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-02-21 14:50
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-02-21 14:50
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.33%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%3.6%2026-02-21 14:55