Language:English
Bristol Rovers v Cheltenham Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bristol Rovers (Local)
Prediction 52.78%1.89fair odd
EV -4.99%
Edge -2.77%
Kelly -6.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.76%52.75%52.86%54.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.751.741.8059.88%57.29%57.47%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cheltenham Town (Visit)
Prediction 21.10%4.74fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -0.636%
Kelly -0.813%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.38%21.17%20.97%22.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.394.404.6025.00%22.79%22.73%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.11%3.83fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -0.913%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.89%26.08%26.17%28.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.513.503.7032.26%28.50%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bristol Rovers (Local): 52.78%; Cheltenham Town (Visit): 21.10%; Draw: 26.11%. For Cheltenham Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.74. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.60, with an expected value of -2.93%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.15%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 08:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.15%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -8.20%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 14:23 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 08:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 19:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -10.31%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 08:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -10.31%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 08:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 11:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 11:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -7.15%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 07:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.62%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -8.62%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 18:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.39%EV -7.10%E -4.04%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 20.79%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.82%EV -4.95%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.95%EV -7.10%E -4.04%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 20.57%EV -4.40%E -0.972%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.08%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 11:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.63%EV -7.10%E -4.04%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 14:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -2.93%E -0.636%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 14:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 19:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -6.09%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -7.30%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 11:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -6.09%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -7.30%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 11:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.62%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 14:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -7.15%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.91%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-21 19:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.28%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.38%EV -3.98%E -0.875%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.08%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 11:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 14:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 14:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 14:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 14:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 14:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 14:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 14:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 14:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 14:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.84%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -7.15%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 09:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -7.30%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-24 03:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.58%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 14:16 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.45%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.47%EV -10.31%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 14:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 11:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -19.05%E -6.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-21 20:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.95%EV -9.21%E -5.36%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -8.62%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-21 19:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -9.21%E -5.36%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-22 11:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.07%EV -9.74%E -5.70%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -7.15%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.91%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-20 14:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.07%EV -9.74%E -5.70%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -7.15%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.91%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-20 14:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.07%EV -9.74%E -5.70%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -7.15%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.91%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-20 14:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -7.15%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -3.38%E -0.913%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -8.62%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 07:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -8.62%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 07:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -8.62%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 07:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -8.62%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 07:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.94%EV -11.85%E -7.10%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-24 03:03 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.34% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58% | 1.0% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.25% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76% | 3.6% | 2026-04-23 21:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.25% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.25% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76% | 3.6% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.11% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |