La escuela de los momios

Bristol Rovers v Cheltenham Town

Inicio: 2026-04-25 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bristol Rovers (Local)

Predicción 52.78%1.89momio equitativo
EV -4.99%
Ventaja -2.77%
Kelly -6.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.76%52.75%52.86%54.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.751.741.8059.88%57.29%57.47%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cheltenham Town (Visitante)

Predicción 21.10%4.74momio equitativo
EV -2.93%
Ventaja -0.636%
Kelly -0.813%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.38%21.17%20.97%22.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.394.404.6025.00%22.79%22.73%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.11%3.83momio equitativo
EV -3.38%
Ventaja -0.913%
Kelly -1.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.89%26.08%26.17%28.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.513.503.7032.26%28.50%28.57%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.15%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 08:24
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.15%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 13:39
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -8.20%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 14:23
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 08:14
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 19:25
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -10.31%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 08:24
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -10.31%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 08:25
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 11:24
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 11:25
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -7.15%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:00
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 07:54
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.62%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -8.62%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 18:05
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:50
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 53.39%EV -7.10%E -4.04%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 20.79%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.82%EV -4.95%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 12:30
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.95%EV -7.10%E -4.04%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 20.57%EV -4.40%E -0.972%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.08%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 11:45
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.63%EV -7.10%E -4.04%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 14:24
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -2.93%E -0.636%K -0.813%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 14:05
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 19:25
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -6.09%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -7.30%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 11:34
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -6.09%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -7.30%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 11:34
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.62%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 14:04
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -7.15%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.91%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 19:25
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.28%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.38%EV -3.98%E -0.875%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.08%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 11:40
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 14:04
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 14:05
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 14:04
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 14:04
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 14:04
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 14:04
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 14:04
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 14:04
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 14:04
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 14:04
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.84%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -7.15%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 09:19
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -7.30%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-24 03:49
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 52.58%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 14:16
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.45%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.47%EV -10.31%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:04
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 11:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -19.05%E -6.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-21 20:50
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.95%EV -9.21%E -5.36%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -8.62%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 19:25
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -9.21%E -5.36%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-22 11:34
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 53.07%EV -9.74%E -5.70%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -7.15%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.91%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-20 14:04
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.07%EV -9.74%E -5.70%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -7.15%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.91%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-20 14:04
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.07%EV -9.74%E -5.70%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -7.15%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.91%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-20 14:04
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -7.15%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -3.38%E -0.913%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 16:40
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -8.62%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 07:44
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -8.62%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 07:44
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -8.62%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 07:44
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -8.62%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 07:44
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 52.94%EV -11.85%E -7.10%K -17.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-24 03:03
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.34%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-04-24 02:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.25%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%3.6%2026-04-23 21:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.25%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%3.6%2026-04-24 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.25%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%3.6%2026-04-23 21:15
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 54.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%5.0%2026-04-24 02:40